Match

Chester vs Harborough Town: prediction and stats

National League - NorthNational League North - 29Kick-off on January 26, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Deva Stadium, Chester, Cheshire

ChesterHarborough Town

The Footlab AI model makes Chester the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Harborough Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chester wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,872 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chester vs Harborough Town?

A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Chester (1,937) and Harborough Town (1,986).

41%26%33%
Chester winDrawHarborough Town win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Chester vs Harborough Town

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Chester

4-3-3
  1. 9J. Hazel
  2. 11B. Waters
  3. 17C. Woods
  1. 12D. Ward
  2. 24C. Murphy
  3. 4D. Weeks
  1. 3Nathan Woodthorpe
  2. 5J. Griffin
  3. 33Samuel Reed
  4. 15Isaac Burgess
  1. 1Luke Hewitson

Harborough Town

Not enough data to predict the Harborough Town lineup.

Computed on October 20, 2026 at 02:37 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chester have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Harborough Town have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chester
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Bedford Town(home)1-0National League - North
Oct 3, 2026Spennymoor Town(away)1-4FA Cup
Sep 26, 2026Worksop Town(home)4-1National League - North
Sep 19, 2026Lower Breck(away)2-1FA Cup
Sep 12, 2026Buxton(away)1-3National League - North
Harborough Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Spennymoor Town(home)3-1FA Cup
Oct 10, 2026Southport(home)1-0National League - North
Oct 3, 2026St Albans City(home)3-2FA Cup
Sep 26, 2026Macclesfield(away)0-1National League - North
Sep 19, 2026Rushall Olympic(home)1-0FA Cup

How many goals should we expect?

Chester score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Harborough Town score 1.2 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chester1.30.967/156/15
Harborough Town1.21.057/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chester sit 5th in National League - North (20 points from 11 matches) and Harborough Town sit 17th (15 points from 11 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Chester1162314920
17Harborough Town11434111215

A question about Chester vs Harborough Town?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chester vs Harborough Town?
The Footlab AI model makes Chester the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Harborough Town.
Where and when is Chester vs Harborough Town played?
Chester vs Harborough Town is played on January 26, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Deva Stadium, in the National League - North.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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