Match

Chester vs Harborough Town: prediction and stats

National League - NorthNational League North - 29Kick-off on January 26, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Deva Stadium, Chester, Cheshire

ChesterHarborough Town

The Footlab model makes Harborough Town the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Chester. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chester vs Harborough Town?

A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Chester (1,926) and Harborough Town (1,977).

Chester win37 %
Draw26 %
Harborough Town win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chester have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Harborough Town have 8, 7 and 0.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chester
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Spalding United(home)1-0National League - North
Aug 18, 2026Darlington 1883(away)1-0National League - North
Aug 15, 2026King's Lynn Town(home)2-0National League - North
Aug 8, 2026Chorley(away)2-1National League - North
Aug 1, 2026Crewe(home)0-0Friendlies Clubs
Harborough Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Darlington 1883(home)4-2National League - North
Aug 18, 2026Oxford City(away)1-1National League - North
Aug 15, 2026Morecambe(home)1-0National League - North
Aug 8, 2026King's Lynn Town(away)1-1National League - North
Apr 25, 2026Stamford(away)0-0Non League Premier - Southern Central

How many goals should we expect?

Chester score 1.3 and concede 0.3 goals per match over their last 15; Harborough Town score 2.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chester1.30.3113/154/15
Harborough Town2.00.9411/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chester sit 1st in National League - North (12 points from 4 matches) and Harborough Town sit 7th (8 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Chester44006112
7Harborough Town4220748

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chester vs Harborough Town?
The Footlab model makes Harborough Town the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Chester.
Where and when is Chester vs Harborough Town played?
Chester vs Harborough Town is played on January 26, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Deva Stadium, in the National League - North.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Chester and Harborough Town

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