Belgium U17 vs Latvia U17: prediction and stats
UEFA U17 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)B-Veld Racing Genk, Genk
The Footlab model makes Belgium U17 the favourite at 67%, against 18% for a draw and 15% for Latvia U17. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Belgium U17 vs Latvia U17?
Belgium U17 starts as the favourite with a 218-point Elo edge (1,665 vs 1,447).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Belgium U17 have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Latvia U17 have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Italy U17(home) | 1-1 | UEFA U17 Championship |
| Jun 4, 2026 | France U17(home) | 2-1 | UEFA U17 Championship |
| May 31, 2026 | Estonia U17(home) | 1-0 | UEFA U17 Championship |
| May 28, 2026 | Spain U17(home) | 0-1 | UEFA U17 Championship |
| May 25, 2026 | Croatia U17(away) | 2-0 | UEFA U17 Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2026 | Ukraine U17(away) | 3-2 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Albania U17(home) | 2-2 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Oct 14, 2025 | Andorra U17(away) | 5-1 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Spain U17(away) | 0-5 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Oct 8, 2025 | Denmark U17(home) | 2-3 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
How many goals should we expect?
Belgium U17 score 2.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Latvia U17 score 1.9 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belgium U17 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Latvia U17 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 0 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Belgium U17 sit 1st in UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification (9 points from 3 matches) and Latvia U17 sit 1st (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belgium U17 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9 |
| 1 | Latvia U17 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Belgium U17 vs Latvia U17?
- The Footlab model makes Belgium U17 the favourite at 67%, against 18% for a draw and 15% for Latvia U17.
- Where and when is Belgium U17 vs Latvia U17 played?
- Belgium U17 vs Latvia U17 is played on November 14, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at B-Veld Racing Genk, in the UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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