Match

Belgium U17 vs Latvia U17: prediction and stats

UEFA U17 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)B-Veld Racing Genk, Genk

Belgium U17Latvia U17

The Footlab model makes Belgium U17 the favourite at 67%, against 18% for a draw and 15% for Latvia U17. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Belgium U17 vs Latvia U17?

Belgium U17 starts as the favourite with a 218-point Elo edge (1,665 vs 1,447).

Belgium U17 win67 %
Draw18 %
Latvia U17 win15 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Belgium U17 have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Latvia U17 have 6, 1 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Belgium U17
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 7, 2026Italy U17(home)1-1UEFA U17 Championship
Jun 4, 2026France U17(home)2-1UEFA U17 Championship
May 31, 2026Estonia U17(home)1-0UEFA U17 Championship
May 28, 2026Spain U17(home)0-1UEFA U17 Championship
May 25, 2026Croatia U17(away)2-0UEFA U17 Championship
Latvia U17
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 6, 2026Ukraine U17(away)3-2UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Jun 3, 2026Albania U17(home)2-2UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Oct 14, 2025Andorra U17(away)5-1UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Oct 11, 2025Spain U17(away)0-5UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Oct 8, 2025Denmark U17(home)2-3UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification

How many goals should we expect?

Belgium U17 score 2.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Latvia U17 score 1.9 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Belgium U172.30.977/158/15
Latvia U171.92.409/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Belgium U17 sit 1st in UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification (9 points from 3 matches) and Latvia U17 sit 1st (4 points from 2 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Belgium U173300909
1Latvia U172110544

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Belgium U17 vs Latvia U17?
The Footlab model makes Belgium U17 the favourite at 67%, against 18% for a draw and 15% for Latvia U17.
Where and when is Belgium U17 vs Latvia U17 played?
Belgium U17 vs Latvia U17 is played on November 14, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at B-Veld Racing Genk, in the UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Belgium U17 and Latvia U17

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