SC Braga vs Nacional: prediction and stats
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga
The Footlab AI model makes SC Braga the favourite at 74%, against 17% for a draw and 9% for Nacional. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,564 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SC Braga vs Nacional?
SC Braga starts as the favourite with a 277-point Elo edge (2,243 vs 1,966).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for SC Braga vs Nacional
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
SC Braga
3-4-3- 10Pau Victor
- 21Ricardo Horta
- 11Gabriel Silva
- 8João Moutinho
- 2Víctor Gómez
- 29Jean-Baptiste Gorby
- 23D. Huseinbašić
- 6Vitor Carvalho
- 22Sergio Barcia
- 44A. Bajrami
- 31Bernardo Fontes
Nacional
4-2-3-1- 29N. Kader
- 10Daniel Júnior
- 12Song Min-Kyu
- 15C. Labidi
- 20Matchoi Djaló
- 8Miguel Baeza
- 38Zé Vitor
- 33Francisco Gonçalves
- 21W. Kokolo
- 88Deivison
- 1Renato Bellucci
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 01:52 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SC Braga have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Nacional have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | FC Copenhagen(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Sporting CP(home) | 1-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Santa Clara(away) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Estoril(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Estrela(away) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Rio Ave(away) | 2-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Famalicao(home) | 0-4 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Alverca(home) | 1-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Sporting CP(away) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Estrela(home) | 2-3 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 SC Braga wins, 0 draws, 1 Nacional win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Nacional 1-2 SC Braga | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 23, 2025 | SC Braga 4-2 Nacional | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 28, 2025 | SC Braga 0-1 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 21, 2025 | SC Braga 1-0 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 20, 2024 | Nacional 0-3 SC Braga | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 22, 2023 | Nacional 1-3 SC Braga | Taça da Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
SC Braga score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Nacional score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Braga | 1.2 | 0.9 | 9 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Nacional | 1.1 | 1.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SC Braga sit 9th in Primeira Liga (11 points from 7 matches) and Nacional sit 16th (4 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | SC Braga | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 11 |
| 16 | Nacional | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 4 |
A question about SC Braga vs Nacional?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SC Braga vs Nacional?
- The Footlab AI model makes SC Braga the favourite at 74%, against 17% for a draw and 9% for Nacional.
- Where and when is SC Braga vs Nacional played?
- SC Braga vs Nacional is played on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal de Braga, in the Primeira Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.