FC Porto vs GIL Vicente: prediction and stats
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Do Dragão, Porto
The Footlab AI model makes FC Porto the favourite at 72%, against 18% for a draw and 10% for GIL Vicente. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,500 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Porto vs GIL Vicente?
FC Porto starts as the favourite with a 285-point Elo edge (2,379 vs 2,094).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FC Porto vs GIL Vicente
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FC Porto
4-3-3- 11Pepê Aquino
- 17Borja Sainz
- 19André Silva
- 8Victor Mow Froholdt
- 13P. Rosario
- 10Gabri Veiga
- 4J. Kiwior
- 20Alberto Baio
- 5J. Bednarek
- 12Z. Sanusi
- 99Diogo Costa
GIL Vicente
4-2-3-1- 9Walace
- 86Diogo Ferreira Prioste
- 10Santi García
- 77Murilo
- 12A. Lausen
- 7T. Touré
- 39Jonathan Buatu
- 45David Moreira
- 47Ricardo Esgaio
- 4M. Elimbi Gilbert
- 30Lucão
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 11:21 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Porto have 12 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; GIL Vicente have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | Napoli(home) | 4-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Estoril(home) | 4-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Academico Viseu(home) | 1-0 | Taça da Liga |
| Oct 24, 2026 | GIL Vicente(away) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 20, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Guimaraes(home) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Benfica(away) | 1-4 | Taça da Liga |
| Oct 24, 2026 | FC Porto(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 19, 2026 | SC Braga(away) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 14, 2026 | União Santarém(away) | 3-2 | Taça de Portugal |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 FC Porto wins, 1 draw, 1 GIL Vicente win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | GIL Vicente 0-1 FC Porto | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 26, 2026 | FC Porto 3-0 GIL Vicente | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 18, 2025 | GIL Vicente 0-2 FC Porto | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 19, 2025 | GIL Vicente 3-1 FC Porto | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 10, 2024 | FC Porto 3-0 GIL Vicente | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 25, 2024 | GIL Vicente 1-1 FC Porto | Primeira Liga |
Last archived meeting: GIL Vicente vs FC Porto on Oct 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Porto score 2.2 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; GIL Vicente score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Porto | 2.2 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| GIL Vicente | 1.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Porto sit 1st in Primeira Liga (30 points from 10 matches) and GIL Vicente sit 7th (15 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 30 |
| 7 | GIL Vicente | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
A question about FC Porto vs GIL Vicente?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Porto vs GIL Vicente?
- The Footlab AI model makes FC Porto the favourite at 72%, against 18% for a draw and 10% for GIL Vicente.
- Where and when is FC Porto vs GIL Vicente played?
- FC Porto vs GIL Vicente is played on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Do Dragão, in the Primeira Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.