Santa Clara vs Benfica: prediction and stats
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio de São Miguel, Ponta Delgada, Ilha de São Miguel, Açores
The Footlab AI model makes Benfica the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Santa Clara. The most likely score is 1-1. If Benfica wins, the most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Santa Clara vs Benfica?
Benfica starts as the favourite with a 279-point Elo edge (2,466 vs 2,186).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Santa Clara vs Benfica
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Santa Clara
4-3-3- 9Gonçalo Paciência
- 70Vinícius Lopes
- 10Brenner Lucas Gonçalves Santos
- 6Pedro Ferreira
- 8José Luís Rocha Tavares
- 20Tiago Ribeiro
- 5Guilherme Romão
- 4Pedro Pacheco
- 21Emanuel Fernandes
- 42Lucas Soares
- 1Lucas França
Benfica
4-2-3-1- 14V. Pavlidis
- 27Rafa
- 25G. Prestianni
- 36João Palhinha
- 10H. Sudakov
- 18L. Barreiro
- 44Tomás Araújo
- 2C. Lenglet
- 26S. Dahl
- 6A. Bah
- 24Samuel Soares
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:43 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santa Clara have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeat; Benfica have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | SC Braga(home) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Arouca(away) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Rio Ave(home) | 4-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Alverca(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Famalicao(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | FC Porto(away) | 1-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | AC Milan(away) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | GIL Vicente(home) | 3-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Moreirense(away) | 4-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Maritimo(away) | 3-0 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Santa Clara wins, 1 draw, 5 Benfica wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2026 | Santa Clara 1-2 Benfica | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Benfica 1-1 Santa Clara | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Santa Clara 0-1 Benfica | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 30, 2024 | Benfica 3-0 Santa Clara | Taça da Liga |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Benfica 4-1 Santa Clara | Primeira Liga |
| May 27, 2023 | Benfica 3-0 Santa Clara | Primeira Liga |
Last archived meeting: Santa Clara vs Benfica on Feb 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Santa Clara score 1.8 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Benfica score 3.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Clara | 1.8 | 0.6 | 8 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Benfica | 3.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Santa Clara sit 4th in Primeira Liga (15 points from 7 matches) and Benfica sit 2nd (16 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 15 |
A question about Santa Clara vs Benfica?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Santa Clara vs Benfica?
- The Footlab AI model makes Benfica the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Santa Clara.
- Where and when is Santa Clara vs Benfica played?
- Santa Clara vs Benfica is played on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio de São Miguel, in the Primeira Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.