Benkovski Isperih vs Ustrem Donchevo: prediction and stats
Third League - NortheastNortheast - 6Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Gradski Stadion Isperih, Isperih
The Footlab model makes Benkovski Isperih the favourite at 65%, against 18% for a draw and 17% for Ustrem Donchevo. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Benkovski Isperih vs Ustrem Donchevo?
A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Benkovski Isperih (1,516) and Ustrem Donchevo (1,441).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Benkovski Isperih have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Ustrem Donchevo have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Ludogorets III(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 23, 2026 | Ustrem Donchevo(away) | 2-3 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 17, 2026 | Volov Shumen(home) | 0-2 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 13, 2026 | Aksakovo(away) | 1-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 9, 2026 | Botev Novi Pazar(home) | 4-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Olympic Varna(home) | 3-4 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 30, 2026 | Riltzi(away) | 4-2 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 23, 2026 | Benkovski Isperih(home) | 3-2 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 16, 2026 | Chernolomets 1919(away) | 0-3 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 13, 2026 | Svetkavitsa Targovishte(home) | 3-0 | Third League - Northeast |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Benkovski Isperih win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Ustrem Donchevo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Ustrem Donchevo 3-2 Benkovski Isperih | Third League - Northeast |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Benkovski Isperih 2-2 Ustrem Donchevo | Third League - Northeast |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Ustrem Donchevo 4-1 Benkovski Isperih | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Benkovski Isperih 0-0 Ustrem Donchevo | Third League - Northeast |
| May 1, 2024 | Ustrem Donchevo 1-2 Benkovski Isperih | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Benkovski Isperih 2-1 Ustrem Donchevo | Third League - Northeast |
Last archived meeting: Ustrem Donchevo vs Benkovski Isperih on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Benkovski Isperih score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ustrem Donchevo score 1.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benkovski Isperih | 1.9 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Ustrem Donchevo | 1.9 | 2.1 | 2 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Ustrem Donchevo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Benkovski Isperih vs Ustrem Donchevo?
- The Footlab model makes Benkovski Isperih the favourite at 65%, against 18% for a draw and 17% for Ustrem Donchevo.
- Where and when is Benkovski Isperih vs Ustrem Donchevo played?
- Benkovski Isperih vs Ustrem Donchevo is played on September 20, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski Stadion Isperih, in the Third League - Northeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.