Devnya 2005 vs Dorostol: prediction and stats
Third League - NortheastNortheast - 6Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Devnya 2005 the favourite at 69%, against 19% for a draw and 12% for Dorostol. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Devnya 2005 vs Dorostol?
Devnya 2005 starts as the favourite with a 182-point Elo edge (1,467 vs 1,285).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 1 matches in all competitions, Devnya 2005 have 1 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats; Dorostol have 1, 1 and 13.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Riltzi(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Svetkavitsa 14(home) | 0-4 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 30, 2026 | Chernolomets 1919(away) | 0-3 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 23, 2026 | Svetkavitsa Targovishte(home) | 3-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 16, 2026 | Olympic Varna(away) | 2-4 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 9, 2026 | Ludogorets III(home) | 0-9 | Third League - Northeast |
How many goals should we expect?
Devnya 2005 score 1.0 and concede 0.0 goals per match over their last 1; Dorostol score 0.7 and concede 3.0. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devnya 2005 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0/1 | 0/1 |
| Dorostol | 0.7 | 3.0 | 1 | 5/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 1 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Dorostol | 32 | 8 | 4 | 20 | 29 | 67 | 28 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Devnya 2005 vs Dorostol?
- The Footlab model makes Devnya 2005 the favourite at 69%, against 19% for a draw and 12% for Dorostol.
- Where and when is Devnya 2005 vs Dorostol played?
- Devnya 2005 vs Dorostol is played on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the Third League - Northeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 19, 2026Botev Novi PazarvsChernomorets Balchik
- Sep 19, 2026Septemvri TervelvsFratria II
- Sep 19, 2026Volov ShumenvsSeptemvri Dragoevo
- Sep 19, 2026RiltzivsLudogorets III
- Sep 19, 2026Svetkavitsa 14vsChernolomets 1919
- Sep 19, 2026Olympic VarnavsCherno more II
- Sep 20, 2026Benkovski IsperihvsUstrem Donchevo