Bergantiños vs Gernika: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 · Matchday 24Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio As Eiroas, Carballo
The Footlab AI model makes Bergantiños the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Gernika. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bergantiños wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 5,941 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bergantiños vs Gernika?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Bergantiños (1,909) and Gernika (1,847).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bergantiños vs Gernika
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bergantiños
Not enough data to predict the Bergantiños lineup.
Gernika
Not enough data to predict the Gernika lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 06:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bergantiños have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Gernika have 3, 9 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Llanera(away) | 3-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Ourense CF(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Eibar II(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Real Oviedo II(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Arosa(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Gimnástica Torrelavega(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Marino de Luanco(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Atlético Astorga(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Amorebieta(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Deportivo Alavés II(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Bergantiños wins, 1 draw, 0 Gernika wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Gernika 2-2 Bergantiños | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Gernika vs Bergantiños on Sep 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bergantiños score 2.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Gernika score 1.2 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bergantiños | 2.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Gernika | 1.2 | 0.8 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bergantiños sit 4th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 (18 points from 10 matches) and Gernika sit 11th (12 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Bergantiños | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 15 | 18 |
| 11 | Gernika | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 12 |
A question about Bergantiños vs Gernika?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bergantiños vs Gernika?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bergantiños the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Gernika.
- Where and when is Bergantiños vs Gernika played?
- Bergantiños vs Gernika is played on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio As Eiroas, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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