Basconia vs Eibar II: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 24Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Artunduaga, Basauri
The Footlab model makes Basconia the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Eibar II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Basconia vs Eibar II?
A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate Basconia (1,962) and Eibar II (1,888).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Basconia have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Eibar II have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Racing Santander II(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gimnástica Torrelavega(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Ejea(home) | 5-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Gernika(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Sestao River(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Náxara(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Ejea(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Ebro(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Utebo(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | UD Logroñés(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Basconia win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Eibar II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | Eibar II 1-3 Basconia | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Basconia 1-1 Eibar II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Basconia score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Eibar II score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Basconia | 2.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Eibar II | 1.5 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Basconia vs Eibar II?
- The Footlab model makes Basconia the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Eibar II.
- Where and when is Basconia vs Eibar II played?
- Basconia vs Eibar II is played on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Artunduaga, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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