Ourense CF vs Bergantiños: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 25Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio O Couto, Ourense
The Footlab AI model makes Bergantiños the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Ourense CF. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bergantiños wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 3,242 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ourense CF vs Bergantiños?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Ourense CF (1,913) and Bergantiños (1,976).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ourense CF vs Bergantiños
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ourense CF
Not enough data to predict the Ourense CF lineup.
Bergantiños
Not enough data to predict the Bergantiños lineup.
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 08:15 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ourense CF have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Bergantiños have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Coruxo(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Atlético Astorga(away) | 0-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Arosa(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Amorebieta(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Eibar II(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Eibar II(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Real Oviedo II(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Arosa(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Coruxo(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Portugalete(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 Ourense CF wins, 0 draws, 1 Bergantiños win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2025 | Bergantiños 0-2 Ourense CF | Copa Federacion |
| Apr 2, 2023 | Ourense CF 1-0 Bergantiños | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 19, 2022 | Bergantiños 1-0 Ourense CF | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Jan 19, 2020 | Bergantiños 0-3 Ourense CF | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Aug 25, 2019 | Ourense CF 3-0 Bergantiños | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Bergantiños vs Ourense CF on Oct 1, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Ourense CF score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Bergantiños score 2.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ourense CF | 0.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Bergantiños | 2.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ourense CF sit 9th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 (10 points from 7 matches) and Bergantiños sit 2nd (17 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bergantiños | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 17 |
| 9 | Ourense CF | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 10 |
A question about Ourense CF vs Bergantiños?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ourense CF vs Bergantiños?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bergantiños the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Ourense CF.
- Where and when is Ourense CF vs Bergantiños played?
- Ourense CF vs Bergantiños is played on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio O Couto, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.