Gernika vs Coruxo: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 25Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Urbieta, Gernika-Lumo
The Footlab AI model makes Gernika the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Coruxo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gernika wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gernika vs Coruxo?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Gernika (1,883) and Coruxo (1,885).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gernika vs Coruxo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gernika
Not enough data to predict the Gernika lineup.
Coruxo
4-3-3- BBrais Penela
- 26Yago Insua
- MMatthew Gonçalves Martin
- 20Borja Domínguez
- 23Juanito Serrano
- ÁÁlex Pérez
- NNaveira
- 22J. Terranova
- 31Borja Marchante
- 12Guido Fernández
- 1Alberto
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 09:09 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gernika have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Coruxo have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Deportivo Alavés II(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sestao River(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Coruxo(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Llanera(home) | 4-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Arosa(away) | 4-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Compostela(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Bergantiños(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Gernika(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Portugalete(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Racing Santander II(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Gernika wins, 1 draw, 0 Coruxo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Coruxo 1-1 Gernika | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Gernika score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Coruxo score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gernika | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Coruxo | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gernika sit 8th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 (9 points from 6 matches) and Coruxo sit 15th (5 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Gernika | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 9 |
| 15 | Coruxo | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 5 |
A question about Gernika vs Coruxo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gernika vs Coruxo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Gernika the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Coruxo.
- Where and when is Gernika vs Coruxo played?
- Gernika vs Coruxo is played on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Urbieta, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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