FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs Hertha BSC II: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 26Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Steigerwaldstadion, Erfurt
The Footlab model makes FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt the favourite at 68%, against 18% for a draw and 14% for Hertha BSC II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs Hertha BSC II?
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt starts as the favourite with a 228-point Elo edge (2,021 vs 1,793).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Hertha BSC II have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Luckenwalde(away) | 5-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Magdeburg II(home) | 4-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Tasmania Berlin(home) | 6-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Hallescher FC(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | BFC Dynamo(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Altglienicke(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Greifswalder FC(home) | 1-4 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Chemnitzer FC(home) | 0-4 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Hertha BSC II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 3-2 Hertha BSC II | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Hertha BSC II 0-0 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Mar 21, 2025 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 4-1 Hertha BSC II | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 20, 2024 | Hertha BSC II 2-1 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| May 3, 2024 | Hertha BSC II 1-0 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Nov 25, 2023 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 0-2 Hertha BSC II | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs Hertha BSC II on Mar 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt score 2.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Hertha BSC II score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | 2.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Hertha BSC II | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt sit 1st in Regionalliga - Nordost (16 points from 6 matches) and Hertha BSC II sit 14th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 4 | 16 |
| 14 | Hertha BSC II | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs Hertha BSC II?
- The Footlab model makes FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt the favourite at 68%, against 18% for a draw and 14% for Hertha BSC II.
- Where and when is FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs Hertha BSC II played?
- FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs Hertha BSC II is played on March 21, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Steigerwaldstadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 21, 2027Erzgebirge AuevsMagdeburg II
- Mar 21, 2027FC Carl Zeiss JenavsHallescher FC
- Mar 21, 2027BFC PreussenvsLuckenwalde
- Mar 21, 2027SV Babelsberg 03vsChemnitzer FC
- Mar 21, 2027BFC DynamovsLokomotive Leipzig
- Mar 21, 2027BSG Chemie LeipzigvsTasmania Berlin
- Mar 21, 2027AltglienickevsFSV Zwickau
- Mar 21, 2027Greifswalder FCvsRSV Eintracht