Match

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs Hertha BSC II: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 26Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Steigerwaldstadion, Erfurt

FC Rot-Weiß ErfurtHertha BSC II

The Footlab model makes FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt the favourite at 68%, against 18% for a draw and 14% for Hertha BSC II. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs Hertha BSC II?

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt starts as the favourite with a 228-point Elo edge (2,021 vs 1,793).

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt win68 %
Draw18 %
Hertha BSC II win14 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Hertha BSC II have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Luckenwalde(away)5-0Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 15, 2026Magdeburg II(home)4-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 9, 2026FC Carl Zeiss Jena(away)2-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 5, 2026Tasmania Berlin(home)6-0Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 2, 2026Hallescher FC(away)1-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Hertha BSC II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 14, 2026BFC Dynamo(home)1-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 11, 2026Altglienicke(away)1-3Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 8, 2026Lokomotive Leipzig(away)2-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 4, 2026Greifswalder FC(home)1-4Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 25, 2026Chemnitzer FC(home)0-4Regionalliga - Nordost

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Hertha BSC II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 20, 2026FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 3-2 Hertha BSC IIRegionalliga - Nordost
Sep 26, 2025Hertha BSC II 0-0 FC Rot-Weiß ErfurtRegionalliga - Nordost
Mar 21, 2025FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 4-1 Hertha BSC IIRegionalliga - Nordost
Aug 20, 2024Hertha BSC II 2-1 FC Rot-Weiß ErfurtRegionalliga - Nordost
May 3, 2024Hertha BSC II 1-0 FC Rot-Weiß ErfurtRegionalliga - Nordost
Nov 25, 2023FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 0-2 Hertha BSC IIRegionalliga - Nordost

Last archived meeting: FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs Hertha BSC II on Mar 20, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt score 2.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Hertha BSC II score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt2.71.158/1511/15
Hertha BSC II1.11.729/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt sit 1st in Regionalliga - Nordost (16 points from 6 matches) and Hertha BSC II sit 14th (4 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt651022416
14Hertha BSC II51135134

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs Hertha BSC II?
The Footlab model makes FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt the favourite at 68%, against 18% for a draw and 14% for Hertha BSC II.
Where and when is FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs Hertha BSC II played?
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs Hertha BSC II is played on March 21, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Steigerwaldstadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt and Hertha BSC II

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