BFC Preussen vs Luckenwalde: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 26Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Preußenstadion, Berlin
The Footlab model makes BFC Preussen the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Luckenwalde. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win BFC Preussen vs Luckenwalde?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate BFC Preussen (1,841) and Luckenwalde (1,773).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BFC Preussen have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Luckenwalde have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | BFC Dynamo(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Greifswalder FC(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Erzgebirge Aue(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Chemnitzer FC(away) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(home) | 0-5 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FSV Zwickau(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tasmania Berlin(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Magdeburg II(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | RSV Eintracht(away) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 BFC Preussen win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Luckenwalde win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | BFC Preussen 3-1 Luckenwalde | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Luckenwalde 3-0 BFC Preussen | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: BFC Preussen vs Luckenwalde on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
BFC Preussen score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Luckenwalde score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BFC Preussen | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Luckenwalde | 0.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
BFC Preussen sit 17th in Regionalliga - Nordost (2 points from 6 matches) and Luckenwalde sit 15th (3 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Luckenwalde | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 3 |
| 17 | BFC Preussen | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for BFC Preussen vs Luckenwalde?
- The Footlab model makes BFC Preussen the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Luckenwalde.
- Where and when is BFC Preussen vs Luckenwalde played?
- BFC Preussen vs Luckenwalde is played on March 21, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Preußenstadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 21, 2027Erzgebirge AuevsMagdeburg II
- Mar 21, 2027FC Carl Zeiss JenavsHallescher FC
- Mar 21, 2027FC Rot-Weiß ErfurtvsHertha BSC II
- Mar 21, 2027SV Babelsberg 03vsChemnitzer FC
- Mar 21, 2027BFC DynamovsLokomotive Leipzig
- Mar 21, 2027BSG Chemie LeipzigvsTasmania Berlin
- Mar 21, 2027AltglienickevsFSV Zwickau
- Mar 21, 2027Greifswalder FCvsRSV Eintracht