SV Babelsberg 03 vs Chemnitzer FC: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 26Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Karl-Liebknecht-Stadion, Potsdam
The Footlab model makes Chemnitzer FC the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for SV Babelsberg 03. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SV Babelsberg 03 vs Chemnitzer FC?
Chemnitzer FC starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (1,991 vs 1,863).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SV Babelsberg 03 have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Chemnitzer FC have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | RSV Eintracht(home) | 3-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Magdeburg II(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Altglienicke(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 26, 2026 | BSG Chemie Leipzig(away) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig(away) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Erzgebirge Aue(home) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hallescher FC(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | FSV Zwickau(home) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | BFC Preussen(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 SV Babelsberg 03 win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Chemnitzer FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Chemnitzer FC 5-1 SV Babelsberg 03 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Sep 13, 2025 | SV Babelsberg 03 0-1 Chemnitzer FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Mar 11, 2025 | SV Babelsberg 03 0-0 Chemnitzer FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Chemnitzer FC 2-3 SV Babelsberg 03 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Mar 19, 2024 | SV Babelsberg 03 1-0 Chemnitzer FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 29, 2023 | Chemnitzer FC 0-0 SV Babelsberg 03 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: Chemnitzer FC vs SV Babelsberg 03 on Feb 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SV Babelsberg 03 score 2.8 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Chemnitzer FC score 2.4 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SV Babelsberg 03 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| Chemnitzer FC | 2.4 | 1.0 | 6 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SV Babelsberg 03 sit 13th in Regionalliga - Nordost (5 points from 5 matches) and Chemnitzer FC sit 2nd (16 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Chemnitzer FC | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 16 |
| 13 | SV Babelsberg 03 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SV Babelsberg 03 vs Chemnitzer FC?
- The Footlab model makes Chemnitzer FC the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for SV Babelsberg 03.
- Where and when is SV Babelsberg 03 vs Chemnitzer FC played?
- SV Babelsberg 03 vs Chemnitzer FC is played on March 21, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Karl-Liebknecht-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 21, 2027Erzgebirge AuevsMagdeburg II
- Mar 21, 2027FC Carl Zeiss JenavsHallescher FC
- Mar 21, 2027FC Rot-Weiß ErfurtvsHertha BSC II
- Mar 21, 2027BFC PreussenvsLuckenwalde
- Mar 21, 2027BFC DynamovsLokomotive Leipzig
- Mar 21, 2027BSG Chemie LeipzigvsTasmania Berlin
- Mar 21, 2027AltglienickevsFSV Zwickau
- Mar 21, 2027Greifswalder FCvsRSV Eintracht