Blackburn vs Birmingham: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 23Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ewood Park, Blackburn, Lancashire
The Footlab AI model makes Birmingham the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Blackburn. The most likely score is 1-1. If Birmingham wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Blackburn vs Birmingham?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Blackburn (1,911) and Birmingham (1,974).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Blackburn vs Birmingham
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Blackburn
4-2-3-1- 9A. Guðjohnsen
- 25R. Morishita
- 21O. Afolayan
- 10T. Cantwell
- 31Kristi Montgomery
- 8Sam Morsy
- 15S. McLoughlin
- 2R. Alebiosu
- 17H. Carter
- 3H. Pickering
- 22B. Tóth
Birmingham
4-2-3-1- 9A. Priske
- 24T. Iwata
- 28J. Stansfield
- 17L. Millar
- 14J. Solis
- 7Carlos Vicente
- 26B. Osayi-Samuel
- 4C. Klarer
- 5P. Neumann
- 20A. Cochrane
- 1J. Beadle
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 09:46 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Blackburn have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Birmingham have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Bristol City(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cardiff(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Portsmouth(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Millwall(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Preston(home) | 4-0 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | West Brom(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Middlesbrough(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Derby(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Norwich(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Blackburn wins, 0 draws, 3 Birmingham wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | Birmingham 0-1 Blackburn | Championship |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Blackburn 1-2 Birmingham | Championship |
| Feb 13, 2024 | Birmingham 1-0 Blackburn | Championship |
| Nov 29, 2023 | Blackburn 4-2 Birmingham | Championship |
| Apr 1, 2023 | Birmingham 1-0 Blackburn | Championship |
| Jan 31, 2023 | Birmingham 0-1 Blackburn | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Birmingham vs Blackburn on Apr 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Blackburn score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Birmingham score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blackburn | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Birmingham | 1.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Blackburn sit 9th in Championship (15 points from 10 matches) and Birmingham sit 4th (17 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Birmingham | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 17 |
| 9 | Blackburn | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 15 |
A question about Blackburn vs Birmingham?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Blackburn vs Birmingham?
- The Footlab AI model makes Birmingham the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Blackburn.
- Where and when is Blackburn vs Birmingham played?
- Blackburn vs Birmingham is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ewood Park, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.