Match

Biwako Shiga vs Roasso Kumamoto: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Nunobiki Higashiomi Stadium, Higashiomi

Biwako ShigaRoasso Kumamoto

The Footlab model makes Biwako Shiga the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Roasso Kumamoto. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Biwako Shiga vs Roasso Kumamoto?

A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Biwako Shiga (1,713) and Roasso Kumamoto (1,700).

Biwako Shiga win37 %
Draw29 %
Roasso Kumamoto win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Biwako Shiga have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Roasso Kumamoto have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Biwako Shiga
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Gamba Osaka(away)0-2Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026Thespakusatsu Gunma(away)3-2J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Japan Soccer College(home)2-1Emperor Cup
Aug 16, 2026Matsumoto Yamaga(away)3-2J3 League
Aug 9, 2026FC Gifu(home)0-3J3 League
Roasso Kumamoto
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Parceiro Nagano(home)0-1J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Gainare Tottori(away)2-2Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026Tochigi SC(home)0-0J3 League
Aug 8, 2026Sagamihara(away)0-0J3 League
Jul 19, 2026Yokohama F. Marinos(away)1-3Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Biwako Shiga win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Roasso Kumamoto win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Roasso Kumamoto 2-0 Biwako ShigaJ2/J3 League
Mar 8, 2026Biwako Shiga 1-0 Roasso KumamotoJ2/J3 League

Last archived meeting: Roasso Kumamoto vs Biwako Shiga on May 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Biwako Shiga score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Roasso Kumamoto score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Biwako Shiga1.21.938/159/15
Roasso Kumamoto0.91.165/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Biwako Shiga sit 6th in J3 League (6 points from 3 matches) and Roasso Kumamoto sit 17th (2 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Biwako Shiga3201676
17Roasso Kumamoto3021012

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Biwako Shiga vs Roasso Kumamoto?
The Footlab model makes Biwako Shiga the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Roasso Kumamoto.
Where and when is Biwako Shiga vs Roasso Kumamoto played?
Biwako Shiga vs Roasso Kumamoto is played on October 3, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Nunobiki Higashiomi Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Biwako Shiga and Roasso Kumamoto

Ready to know everything about football?