Where and when is Kitakyushu vs Kochi United played?

Kitakyushu vs Kochi United is played on October 3, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Mikuni World Stadium, in the J3 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Kitakyushu vs Kochi United: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Mikuni World Stadium, Kitakyushu

Kitakyushu

Kochi United

The Footlab model makes Kitakyushu the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Kochi United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kitakyushu vs Kochi United?

A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Kitakyushu (1,618) and Kochi United (1,634).

Kitakyushu win47 %

Draw27 %

Kochi United win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kitakyushu have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Kochi United have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kitakyushu
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Tochigi SC(away)	2-2	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Okinawa SV(home)	1-2	Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026	Kamatamare Sanuki(home)	0-0	J3 League
Jul 18, 2026	Yokohama FC(away)	2-3	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 7, 2026	Tochigi SC(away)	1-2	J2/J3 League

Kochi United
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Kamatamare Sanuki(home)	2-1	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Verspah Oita(away)	0-3	Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026	FC Gifu(away)	0-7	J3 League
Aug 8, 2026	Matsumoto Yamaga(home)	0-0	J3 League
Jun 6, 2026	Omiya Ardija(away)	1-2	J2/J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Kitakyushu win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Kochi United win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Sep 27, 2025	Kitakyushu 0-2 Kochi United	J3 League
Jun 21, 2025	Kochi United 3-2 Kitakyushu	J3 League

Last archived meeting: Kitakyushu vs Kochi United on Sep 27, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Kitakyushu score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Kochi United score 0.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Kitakyushu	1.1	1.9	2	10/15	10/15
Kochi United	0.8	1.7	4	5/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kitakyushu sit 15th in J3 League (2 points from 2 matches) and Kochi United sit 11th (4 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
11	Kochi United	3	1	1	1	2	8	4
15	Kitakyushu	2	0	2	0	2	2	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kitakyushu vs Kochi United?: The Footlab model makes Kitakyushu the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Kochi United.
Where and when is Kitakyushu vs Kochi United played?: Kitakyushu vs Kochi United is played on October 3, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Mikuni World Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.