Ehime FC vs Thespakusatsu Gunma: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Ningineer Stadium, Matsuyama
The Footlab model makes Ehime FC the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Thespakusatsu Gunma. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ehime FC vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Ehime FC (1,711) and Thespakusatsu Gunma (1,663).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ehime FC have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Thespakusatsu Gunma have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | V-varen Nagasaki(away) | 2-3 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Matsumoto Yamaga(away) | 2-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Pacific University(home) | 2-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gainare Tottori(home) | 4-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Nara Club(home) | 4-1 | J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Tokyo Verdy(away) | 1-4 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Biwako Shiga(home) | 2-3 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Tohoku Gakuin University(away) | 3-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sagamihara(home) | 1-4 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kagoshima United(away) | 0-1 | J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ehime FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Thespakusatsu Gunma win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 7, 2024 | Ehime FC 0-4 Thespakusatsu Gunma | J2 League |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Thespakusatsu Gunma 0-1 Ehime FC | J2 League |
| Aug 9, 2021 | Thespakusatsu Gunma 1-1 Ehime FC | J2 League |
| Apr 4, 2021 | Ehime FC 1-2 Thespakusatsu Gunma | J2 League |
| Nov 21, 2020 | Ehime FC 0-1 Thespakusatsu Gunma | J2 League |
| Sep 20, 2020 | Thespakusatsu Gunma 1-0 Ehime FC | J2 League |
Last archived meeting: Ehime FC vs Thespakusatsu Gunma on Jul 7, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Ehime FC score 1.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Thespakusatsu Gunma score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ehime FC | 1.9 | 1.0 | 6 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Thespakusatsu Gunma | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ehime FC sit 2nd in J3 League (7 points from 3 matches) and Thespakusatsu Gunma sit 20th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ehime FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 7 |
| 20 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ehime FC vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?
- The Footlab model makes Ehime FC the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Thespakusatsu Gunma.
- Where and when is Ehime FC vs Thespakusatsu Gunma played?
- Ehime FC vs Thespakusatsu Gunma is played on October 3, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Ningineer Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.