Parceiro Nagano vs Nara Club: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Minami Nagano Sports Park Stadium, Nagano
The Footlab model makes Nara Club the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Parceiro Nagano. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Parceiro Nagano vs Nara Club?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Parceiro Nagano (1,595) and Nara Club (1,662).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Parceiro Nagano have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Nara Club have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto(away) | 1-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Fukui United(home) | 2-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Osaka(away) | 2-4 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Renofa Yamaguchi(home) | 1-0 | J3 League |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Kamatamare Sanuki(away) | 0-0 | J2/J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Renofa Yamaguchi(home) | 3-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Osaka(home) | 1-4 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kagoshima United(home) | 1-3 | J3 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Ehime FC(away) | 1-4 | J3 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Matsumoto Yamaga(away) | 2-0 | J2/J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Parceiro Nagano win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Nara Club win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | Nara Club 2-0 Parceiro Nagano | J3 League |
| May 31, 2025 | Parceiro Nagano 1-0 Nara Club | J3 League |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Parceiro Nagano 1-1 Nara Club | J3 League |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Nara Club 1-1 Parceiro Nagano | J3 League |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Nara Club 2-0 Parceiro Nagano | J3 League |
| Mar 19, 2023 | Parceiro Nagano 0-3 Nara Club | J3 League |
Last archived meeting: Nara Club vs Parceiro Nagano on Oct 18, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Parceiro Nagano score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nara Club score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parceiro Nagano | 0.9 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Nara Club | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Parceiro Nagano sit 5th in J3 League (6 points from 3 matches) and Nara Club sit 14th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Parceiro Nagano | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 14 | Nara Club | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Parceiro Nagano vs Nara Club?
- The Footlab model makes Nara Club the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Parceiro Nagano.
- Where and when is Parceiro Nagano vs Nara Club played?
- Parceiro Nagano vs Nara Club is played on October 3, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Minami Nagano Sports Park Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.