Where and when is FC Ryukyu vs Roasso Kumamoto played?

FC Ryukyu vs Roasso Kumamoto is played on November 25, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Tapic Kenso Hiyagon Stadium, in the J3 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

FC Ryukyu vs Roasso Kumamoto: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on November 25, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Tapic Kenso Hiyagon Stadium, Okinawa

FC Ryukyu

Roasso Kumamoto

The Footlab model makes Roasso Kumamoto the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for FC Ryukyu. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Ryukyu vs Roasso Kumamoto?

A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate FC Ryukyu (1,599) and Roasso Kumamoto (1,698).

FC Ryukyu win33 %

Draw30 %

Roasso Kumamoto win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Ryukyu have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Roasso Kumamoto have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Ryukyu
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Osaka(away)	2-2	J3 League
Aug 15, 2026	Renofa Yamaguchi(away)	0-1	J3 League
Jul 17, 2026	Urawa(home)	5-4	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 7, 2026	Fukushima United(away)	1-1	J2/J3 League
May 31, 2026	Imabari(away)	2-1	J2/J3 League

Roasso Kumamoto
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Parceiro Nagano(home)	0-1	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Gainare Tottori(away)	2-2	Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026	Tochigi SC(home)	0-0	J3 League
Aug 8, 2026	Sagamihara(away)	0-0	J3 League
Jul 19, 2026	Yokohama F. Marinos(away)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 3 FC Ryukyu win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Roasso Kumamoto win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Roasso Kumamoto 0-1 FC Ryukyu	J2/J3 League
Apr 4, 2026	FC Ryukyu 0-1 Roasso Kumamoto	J2/J3 League
Jun 21, 2023	Roasso Kumamoto 2-2 FC Ryukyu	Emperor Cup
Jul 30, 2022	FC Ryukyu 2-0 Roasso Kumamoto	J2 League
May 8, 2022	Roasso Kumamoto 0-2 FC Ryukyu	J2 League

Last archived meeting: Roasso Kumamoto vs FC Ryukyu on May 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Ryukyu score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Roasso Kumamoto score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
FC Ryukyu	1.1	1.5	2	8/15	6/15
Roasso Kumamoto	0.9	1.1	6	5/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Ryukyu sit 18th in J3 League (1 points from 2 matches) and Roasso Kumamoto sit 17th (2 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
17	Roasso Kumamoto	3	0	2	1	0	1	2
18	FC Ryukyu	2	0	1	1	2	3	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Ryukyu vs Roasso Kumamoto?: The Footlab model makes Roasso Kumamoto the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for FC Ryukyu.
Where and when is FC Ryukyu vs Roasso Kumamoto played?: FC Ryukyu vs Roasso Kumamoto is played on November 25, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Tapic Kenso Hiyagon Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.