Match

FC Ryukyu vs Roasso Kumamoto: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on November 25, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Tapic Kenso Hiyagon Stadium, Okinawa

FC RyukyuRoasso Kumamoto

The Footlab AI model makes FC Ryukyu the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Roasso Kumamoto. The most likely score is 1-1. If FC Ryukyu wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,855 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Ryukyu vs Roasso Kumamoto?

On Elo ratings, FC Ryukyu has 1,652 points and Roasso Kumamoto 1,775.

43%29%28%
FC Ryukyu winDrawRoasso Kumamoto win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for FC Ryukyu vs Roasso Kumamoto

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

FC Ryukyu

4-3-3
  1. 23K. Sota
  2. 19T. Teruuchi
  3. 18Y. Ueno
  1. 17Y. Kato
  2. 13S. Iwamoto
  3. 10Y. Tomidokoro
  1. 4H. Fujiharu
  2. 14J. Suzuki
  3. 27Y. Funabashi
  4. 15R. Araki
  1. 1H. Sato

Roasso Kumamoto

4-3-3
  1. 9Bae Jeong-Min
  2. 10Y. Katori
  3. 14Ora Ishihara
  1. 4Rei Yakushida
  2. 5K. Kobayashi
  3. 29N. Mishina
  1. 24Ri Thae-Ha
  2. 41Y. Omoto
  3. 26Shumpei Toda
  4. 30S. Nagashima
  1. 1S. Sato

Computed on October 19, 2026 at 09:10 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Ryukyu have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Roasso Kumamoto have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Ryukyu
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Tochigi SC(home)1-0J3 League
Oct 10, 2026Thespakusatsu Gunma(away)1-2J3 League
Oct 3, 2026Kanazawa(home)0-2J3 League
Sep 26, 2026Ehime FC(home)1-1J3 League
Sep 20, 2026Biwako Shiga(away)0-3J3 League
Roasso Kumamoto
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Kamatamare Sanuki(away)3-0J3 League
Oct 11, 2026Ehime FC(home)0-2J3 League
Oct 2, 2026Biwako Shiga(away)0-0J3 League
Sep 29, 2026Kawasaki Frontale(home)0-1J-League Cup
Sep 26, 2026Thespakusatsu Gunma(away)1-0J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 3 FC Ryukyu wins, 1 draw, 1 Roasso Kumamoto win.

DateScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Roasso Kumamoto 0-1 FC RyukyuJ2/J3 League
Apr 4, 2026FC Ryukyu 0-1 Roasso KumamotoJ2/J3 League
Jun 21, 2023Roasso Kumamoto 2-2 FC RyukyuEmperor Cup
Jul 30, 2022FC Ryukyu 2-0 Roasso KumamotoJ2 League
May 8, 2022Roasso Kumamoto 0-2 FC RyukyuJ2 League

Last archived meeting: Roasso Kumamoto vs FC Ryukyu on May 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Ryukyu score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Roasso Kumamoto score 1.0 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC Ryukyu1.51.539/159/15
Roasso Kumamoto1.00.884/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Ryukyu sit 12th in J3 League (14 points from 11 matches) and Roasso Kumamoto sit 8th (17 points from 11 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Roasso Kumamoto1145210617
12FC Ryukyu11425121414

A question about FC Ryukyu vs Roasso Kumamoto?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Ryukyu vs Roasso Kumamoto?
The Footlab AI model makes FC Ryukyu the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Roasso Kumamoto.
Where and when is FC Ryukyu vs Roasso Kumamoto played?
FC Ryukyu vs Roasso Kumamoto is played on November 25, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Tapic Kenso Hiyagon Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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