QPR vs Bristol City: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 23Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)MATRADE Loftus Road, London
The Footlab AI model makes QPR the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Bristol City. The most likely score is 1-1. If QPR wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,617 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win QPR vs Bristol City?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate QPR (1,946) and Bristol City (1,918).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for QPR vs Bristol City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
QPR
4-2-3-1- 26Rayan Jawad Kolli
- 5R. Edwards
- 18G. Kamara
- 11P. Smyth
- 20H. Vale
- 17K. Poku
- 3J. Dunne
- 2K. Adamson
- 12B. Kemper
- 6J. Clarke-Salter
- 1P. Charles
Bristol City
4-2-3-1- 23D. Ballard
- 12J. Knight
- 10S. Twine
- 7Y. Hirakawa
- 21Rio Cardines
- 27G. Yah
- 19G. Tanner
- 5R. Atkinson
- 3C. Pring
- 15L. McNally
- 1S. Tickle
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 06:11 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, QPR have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Bristol City have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Birmingham(away) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Derby(home) | 4-1 | Championship |
| Oct 9, 2026 | West Ham(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Preston(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | West Brom(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Blackburn(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Charlton(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Crystal Palace(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Watford(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 QPR wins, 4 draws, 0 Bristol City wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | QPR 0-0 Bristol City | Championship |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Bristol City 1-2 QPR | Championship |
| Apr 12, 2025 | QPR 1-1 Bristol City | Championship |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Bristol City 1-1 QPR | Championship |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Bristol City 0-1 QPR | Championship |
| Nov 11, 2023 | QPR 0-0 Bristol City | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
QPR score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Bristol City score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QPR | 1.9 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Bristol City | 1.0 | 1.1 | 3 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
QPR sit 9th in Championship (17 points from 11 matches) and Bristol City sit 16th (14 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | QPR | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 17 |
| 16 | Bristol City | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 14 |
A question about QPR vs Bristol City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for QPR vs Bristol City?
- The Footlab AI model makes QPR the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Bristol City.
- Where and when is QPR vs Bristol City played?
- QPR vs Bristol City is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at MATRADE Loftus Road, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.