Sheffield Utd vs Middlesbrough: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 23Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Bramall Lane, Sheffield
The Footlab AI model makes Middlesbrough the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Sheffield Utd. The most likely score is 1-1. If Middlesbrough wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sheffield Utd vs Middlesbrough?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Sheffield Utd (1,997) and Middlesbrough (2,044).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sheffield Utd vs Middlesbrough
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sheffield Utd
4-2-2-2- 45P. Bamford
- 9T. Cannon
- 42Sydie Peck
- 22B. Brereton
- 7J. Rothwell
- 19T. Chong
- 5J. Tanganga
- 8H. Choudhury
- 15L. Kitching
- 3S. McCallum
- 1M. Cooper
Middlesbrough
3-4-2-1- 7W. Lankshear
- 2C. Brittain
- 10A. Morris
- 11A. Cozier-Duberry
- 30Neto Borges
- 6S. Berhalter
- 8R. McGree
- 29A. Malanda
- 4A. Phillips
- 12L. Ayling
- 1R. Vítek
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 05:46 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sheffield Utd have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Middlesbrough have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Lincoln(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Stoke City(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(away) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Wolves(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Blackburn(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Stoke City(away) | 3-2 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Wolves(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Birmingham(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Millwall(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Norwich(home) | 4-3 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sheffield Utd win, 1 draw, 4 Middlesbrough wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2026 | Sheffield Utd 1-2 Middlesbrough | Championship |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Middlesbrough 1-0 Sheffield Utd | Championship |
| Feb 12, 2025 | Sheffield Utd 3-1 Middlesbrough | Championship |
| Oct 23, 2024 | Middlesbrough 1-0 Sheffield Utd | Championship |
| Feb 15, 2023 | Sheffield Utd 1-3 Middlesbrough | Championship |
| Aug 14, 2022 | Middlesbrough 2-2 Sheffield Utd | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Sheffield Utd vs Middlesbrough on Feb 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sheffield Utd score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Middlesbrough score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield Utd | 1.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Middlesbrough | 1.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sheffield Utd sit 15th in Championship (12 points from 9 matches) and Middlesbrough sit 2nd (21 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 14 | 21 |
| 15 | Sheffield Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 12 |
A question about Sheffield Utd vs Middlesbrough?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sheffield Utd vs Middlesbrough?
- The Footlab AI model makes Middlesbrough the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Sheffield Utd.
- Where and when is Sheffield Utd vs Middlesbrough played?
- Sheffield Utd vs Middlesbrough is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Bramall Lane, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.