Stoke City vs Wrexham: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 23Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)bet365 Stadium, Stoke-on-Trent, Staffordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Wrexham the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Stoke City. The most likely score is 1-1. If Wrexham wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stoke City vs Wrexham?
Wrexham starts as the favourite with a 158-point Elo edge (2,035 vs 1,877).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Stoke City vs Wrexham
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Stoke City
3-4-3- 7J. McGlynn
- 11L. Cissé
- 13J. Devenny
- 2B. Johnson
- 8E. Galbraith
- 27El Hadji Djibril Soumaré
- 17E. Bocat
- 16B. Wilmot
- 5L. Graham
- 40M. Talovierov
- 1V. Johansson
Wrexham
3-4-2-1- 19K. Moore
- 8B. Whiteman
- 3J. Ekomié
- 17C. O'Hare
- 12I. Kaboré
- 10J. Windass
- 27L. O'Brien
- 5D. Hyam
- 26Z. Vyner
- 2C. Doyle
- 22A. Patterson
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 07:28 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stoke City have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Wrexham have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Middlesbrough(home) | 2-3 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bolton(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Watford(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Cardiff(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | West Brom(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Derby(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Southampton(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 11, 2026 | West Ham(away) | 0-6 | Championship |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Burnley(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Stoke City wins, 0 draws, 1 Wrexham win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Wrexham 2-0 Stoke City | Championship |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Stoke City 1-0 Wrexham | Championship |
| Jan 4, 2015 | Stoke City 3-1 Wrexham | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Wrexham vs Stoke City on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stoke City score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Wrexham score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Wrexham | 1.0 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stoke City sit 8th in Championship (16 points from 10 matches) and Wrexham sit 17th (11 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Stoke City | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 16 |
| 17 | Wrexham | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 11 |
A question about Stoke City vs Wrexham?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stoke City vs Wrexham?
- The Footlab AI model makes Wrexham the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Stoke City.
- Where and when is Stoke City vs Wrexham played?
- Stoke City vs Wrexham is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at bet365 Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.