Birmingham vs Cardiff: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 24Kick-off on December 29, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)St Andrew's Stadium, Birmingham
The Footlab AI model makes Birmingham the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Cardiff. The most likely score is 1-1. If Birmingham wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,384 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Birmingham vs Cardiff?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Birmingham (1,978) and Cardiff (2,024).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Birmingham vs Cardiff
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Birmingham
4-2-3-1- 9A. Priske
- 24T. Iwata
- 28J. Stansfield
- 17L. Millar
- 14J. Solis
- 7Carlos Vicente
- 26B. Osayi-Samuel
- 4C. Klarer
- 5P. Neumann
- 20A. Cochrane
- 1J. Beadle
Cardiff
4-2-3-1- 9Y. Salech
- 18A. Robertson
- 11O. Tanner
- 8J. Moylan
- 27J. Colwill
- 45Cian Ashford
- 38P. Ng
- 3J. Bagan
- 4G. Osho
- 48D. Lawlor
- 1N. Trott
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 01:50 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Birmingham have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Cardiff have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Preston(home) | 4-0 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | West Brom(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Middlesbrough(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Derby(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Norwich(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Watford(home) | 5-1 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Blackburn(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Charlton(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bolton(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Stoke City(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Birmingham win, 1 draw, 4 Cardiff wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2024 | Birmingham 0-1 Cardiff | Championship |
| Dec 13, 2023 | Cardiff 0-1 Birmingham | Championship |
| Aug 29, 2023 | Birmingham 1-3 Cardiff | League Cup |
| Feb 14, 2023 | Birmingham 0-2 Cardiff | Championship |
| Aug 13, 2022 | Cardiff 1-0 Birmingham | Championship |
| Apr 30, 2022 | Cardiff 1-1 Birmingham | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Birmingham vs Cardiff on Apr 10, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Birmingham score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Cardiff score 2.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Birmingham | 1.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Cardiff | 2.3 | 1.5 | 0 | 13/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Birmingham sit 4th in Championship (17 points from 10 matches) and Cardiff sit 19th (10 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Birmingham | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 17 |
| 19 | Cardiff | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 10 |
A question about Birmingham vs Cardiff?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Birmingham vs Cardiff?
- The Footlab AI model makes Birmingham the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Cardiff.
- Where and when is Birmingham vs Cardiff played?
- Birmingham vs Cardiff is played on December 29, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at St Andrew's Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.