Blauw Geel vs Excelsior Maassluis: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 24Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Prins Willem Alexander Sportpark, Veghel
The Footlab AI model makes Excelsior Maassluis the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Blauw Geel. The most likely score is 1-1. If Excelsior Maassluis wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,460 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Blauw Geel vs Excelsior Maassluis?
Excelsior Maassluis starts as the favourite with a 176-point Elo edge (1,917 vs 1,741).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Blauw Geel vs Excelsior Maassluis
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Blauw Geel
4-2-3-1- 9L. Loermans
- 11Koen van der Zanden
- 7B. van den Nieuwenhof
- 6M. van Rosmalen
- 9D. de Meij
- 8H. van Dijk
- 3R. Voets
- 4D. Arts
- 5B. Eltink
- 4M. Zeller
- 1J. Zielschot
Excelsior Maassluis
4-3-3- 17D. Slagveer
- 10M. Tahiri
- 9B. Wennekers
- 27D. Plank
- 30Y. Hamd
- 8J. Udenhout
- 24D. Lopes Varela
- 3K. Ringeling
- 12B. Riley
- 4D. Heuvelman
- 16K. El Fakiri
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 02:26 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Blauw Geel have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Excelsior Maassluis have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | TOGB(away) | 1-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Poortugaal(home) | 1-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Vvsb(away) | 2-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 4, 2026 | UNA(home) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(away) | 0-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2026 | Heerenveen(home) | 0-2 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 24, 2026 | EVV(home) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Zwaluwen(away) | 2-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | TOGB(home) | 3-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Vvsb(away) | 3-0 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Blauw Geel wins, 0 draws, 1 Excelsior Maassluis win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis 1-0 Blauw Geel | Derde Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Excelsior Maassluis vs Blauw Geel on Sep 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Blauw Geel score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Excelsior Maassluis score 1.9 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blauw Geel | 1.3 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Excelsior Maassluis | 1.9 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Blauw Geel sit 11th in Derde Divisie (12 points from 11 matches) and Excelsior Maassluis sit 3rd (26 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Excelsior Maassluis | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 7 | 26 |
| 11 | Blauw Geel | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 12 |
A question about Blauw Geel vs Excelsior Maassluis?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Blauw Geel vs Excelsior Maassluis?
- The Footlab AI model makes Excelsior Maassluis the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Blauw Geel.
- Where and when is Blauw Geel vs Excelsior Maassluis played?
- Blauw Geel vs Excelsior Maassluis is played on February 27, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Prins Willem Alexander Sportpark, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.