Blooming vs Real Oruro: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónApertura - 17Kick-off on August 27, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Estadio Ramón Aguilera Costas, Santa Cruz de la Sierra
The Footlab model makes Blooming the favourite at 67%, against 18% for a draw and 15% for Real Oruro. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Blooming vs Real Oruro?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Blooming (1,561) and Real Oruro (1,497).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Blooming have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Real Oruro have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Guabirá(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Independiente Petrolero(away) | 2-5 | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Aurora(home) | 3-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Real Potosí(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Always Ready(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bolívar(home) | 2-4 | Primera División |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Always Ready(away) | 2-4 | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Oriente Petrolero(home) | 2-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Real Tomayapo(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 4, 2026 | ABB(away) | 1-4 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Blooming win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Real Oruro win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Real Oruro 2-2 Blooming | Primera División |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Real Oruro 10-1 Blooming | Primera División |
| Nov 25, 2025 | Real Oruro 2-2 Blooming | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Nov 19, 2025 | Blooming 2-1 Real Oruro | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Jul 6, 2025 | Blooming 4-2 Real Oruro | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Real Oruro vs Blooming on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Blooming score 0.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Real Oruro score 1.8 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blooming | 0.7 | 1.7 | 5 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Real Oruro | 1.8 | 2.6 | 0 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Blooming sit 5th in Primera División (12 points from 8 matches) and Real Oruro sit 14th (5 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Blooming | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 12 |
| 10 | Blooming | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 21 |
| 12 | Real Oruro | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 29 | 42 | 17 |
| 14 | Real Oruro | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Blooming vs Real Oruro?
- The Footlab model makes Blooming the favourite at 67%, against 18% for a draw and 15% for Real Oruro.
- Where and when is Blooming vs Real Oruro played?
- Blooming vs Real Oruro is played on August 27, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at Estadio Ramón Aguilera Costas, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.