Universitario de Vinto vs Nacional Potosí: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónApertura - 17Kick-off on August 25, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Nacional Potosí the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Universitario de Vinto. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Universitario de Vinto vs Nacional Potosí?
Nacional Potosí starts as the favourite with a 204-point Elo edge (1,605 vs 1,401).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Universitario de Vinto have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Nacional Potosí have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | The Strongest(away) | 3-4 | Primera División |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Guabirá(away) | 1-2 | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Real Tomayapo(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Oriente Petrolero(away) | 0-5 | Primera División |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Real Potosí(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Independiente Petrolero(home) | 3-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | ABB(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 5, 2026 | The Strongest(home) | 2-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Oriente Petrolero(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Universitario de Vinto win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Nacional Potosí win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Nacional Potosí 1-0 Universitario de Vinto | Primera División |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Universitario de Vinto 2-2 Nacional Potosí | Primera División |
| Oct 22, 2025 | Universitario de Vinto 4-3 Nacional Potosí | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Oct 7, 2025 | Nacional Potosí 0-0 Universitario de Vinto | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Aug 12, 2025 | Nacional Potosí 5-1 Universitario de Vinto | Primera División |
| Mar 5, 2025 | Universitario de Vinto 0-1 Nacional Potosí | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
Last archived meeting: Nacional Potosí vs Universitario de Vinto on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Universitario de Vinto score 1.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Nacional Potosí score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universitario de Vinto | 1.3 | 2.3 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Nacional Potosí | 1.5 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Universitario de Vinto sit 8th in Primera División (10 points from 8 matches) and Nacional Potosí sit 11th (8 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Universitario de Vinto | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 10 |
| 9 | Nacional Potosí | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 21 | 21 |
| 11 | Nacional Potosí | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 8 |
| 16 | Universitario de Vinto | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 35 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Universitario de Vinto vs Nacional Potosí?
- The Footlab model makes Nacional Potosí the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Universitario de Vinto.
- Where and when is Universitario de Vinto vs Nacional Potosí played?
- Universitario de Vinto vs Nacional Potosí is played on August 25, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC), in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.