Independiente Petrolero vs Guabirá: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónApertura - 17Kick-off on August 27, 2026 at 10:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico Patria, Sucre
The Footlab model makes Independiente Petrolero the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Guabirá. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Independiente Petrolero vs Guabirá?
A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Independiente Petrolero (1,528) and Guabirá (1,588).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Independiente Petrolero have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Guabirá have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nacional Potosí(away) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Blooming(home) | 5-2 | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | The Strongest(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Aurora(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Universitario de Vinto(home) | 2-1 | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | The Strongest(home) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 7, 2026 | ABB(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Real Tomayapo(home) | 3-0 | Primera División |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Universitario de Vinto(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Independiente Petrolero win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Guabirá win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Guabirá 2-2 Independiente Petrolero | Primera División |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Independiente Petrolero 0-0 Guabirá | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Dec 2, 2025 | Independiente Petrolero 3-1 Guabirá | Primera División |
| Aug 14, 2025 | Guabirá 3-1 Independiente Petrolero | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Jul 1, 2025 | Guabirá 1-1 Independiente Petrolero | Primera División |
| May 21, 2025 | Independiente Petrolero 0-1 Guabirá | Copa de la División Profesional |
Last archived meeting: Guabirá vs Independiente Petrolero on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Independiente Petrolero score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Guabirá score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independiente Petrolero | 1.4 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Guabirá | 1.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Independiente Petrolero sit 6th in Primera División (12 points from 7 matches) and Guabirá sit 7th (11 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Guabirá | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 27 | 24 |
| 6 | Independiente Petrolero | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 12 |
| 7 | Guabirá | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 20 | 11 |
| 8 | Independiente Petrolero | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 24 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Independiente Petrolero vs Guabirá?
- The Footlab model makes Independiente Petrolero the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Guabirá.
- Where and when is Independiente Petrolero vs Guabirá played?
- Independiente Petrolero vs Guabirá is played on August 27, 2026 at 10:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio Olímpico Patria, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.