Real Potosí vs Real Tomayapo: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónApertura - 17Kick-off on August 26, 2026 at 10:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Víctor Agustín Ugarte de Potosí, Potosí
The Footlab model makes Real Potosí the favourite at 71%, against 17% for a draw and 12% for Real Tomayapo. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Potosí vs Real Tomayapo?
Real Potosí starts as the favourite with a 154-point Elo edge (1,585 vs 1,432).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Potosí have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Real Tomayapo have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Aurora(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 19, 2026 | ABB(away) | 3-2 | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Always Ready(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Blooming(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Universitario de Vinto(away) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Always Ready(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Universitario de Vinto(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Real Oruro(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Guabirá(away) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Jul 31, 2026 | ABB(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Real Potosí win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Real Tomayapo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2026 | Real Tomayapo 1-1 Real Potosí | Primera División |
| Sep 12, 2021 | Real Potosí 1-0 Real Tomayapo | Primera División |
| Apr 2, 2021 | Real Tomayapo 0-0 Real Potosí | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Real Tomayapo vs Real Potosí on Apr 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Real Potosí score 1.6 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Real Tomayapo score 0.8 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Potosí | 1.6 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Real Tomayapo | 0.8 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Potosí sit 13th in Primera División (6 points from 6 matches) and Real Tomayapo sit 15th (5 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Real Potosí | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 25 |
| 13 | Real Potosí | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 15 | Real Tomayapo | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 5 |
| 15 | Real Tomayapo | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 31 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Potosí vs Real Tomayapo?
- The Footlab model makes Real Potosí the favourite at 71%, against 17% for a draw and 12% for Real Tomayapo.
- Where and when is Real Potosí vs Real Tomayapo played?
- Real Potosí vs Real Tomayapo is played on August 26, 2026 at 10:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio Víctor Agustín Ugarte de Potosí, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.