Bolívar vs ABB: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónApertura - 17Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Estadio Hernando Siles, La Paz
The Footlab model makes Bolívar the favourite at 89%, against 7% for a draw and 4% for ABB. The most likely score is 3-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bolívar vs ABB?
Bolívar is a heavy favourite: 1,821 Elo points against 1,416 — a 405-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bolívar have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; ABB have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Real Oruro(away) | 4-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Sao Paulo(away) | 1-3 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 15, 2026 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo(home) | 4-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Sao Paulo(home) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Aurora(away) | 4-2 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ(home) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Real Potosí(home) | 2-3 | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nacional Potosí(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Guabirá(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Real Oruro(home) | 4-1 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Bolívar win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 ABB win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | ABB 0-2 Bolívar | Primera División |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Bolívar 3-2 ABB | Primera División |
| May 4, 2025 | ABB 0-3 Bolívar | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Bolívar score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; ABB score 1.7 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 84% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bolívar | 2.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| ABB | 1.7 | 2.2 | 0 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bolívar sit 4th in Primera División (14 points from 8 matches) and ABB sit 10th (9 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bolívar | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 40 | 18 | 33 |
| 4 | Bolívar | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 14 |
| 10 | ABB | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 9 |
| 11 | ABB | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 33 | 17 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bolívar vs ABB?
- The Footlab model makes Bolívar the favourite at 89%, against 7% for a draw and 4% for ABB.
- Where and when is Bolívar vs ABB played?
- Bolívar vs ABB is played on August 28, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at Estadio Hernando Siles, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 84% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.