Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Oriente Petrolero: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónApertura - 17Kick-off on August 25, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Gualberto Villarroel SJ the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Oriente Petrolero. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Oriente Petrolero?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Gualberto Villarroel SJ (1,499) and Oriente Petrolero (1,539).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gualberto Villarroel SJ have 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats; Oriente Petrolero have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | ABB(away) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Independiente Petrolero(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Always Ready(home) | 2-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 5, 2026 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Real Potosí(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo(home) | 4-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 19, 2026 | The Strongest(away) | 1-2 | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Real Oruro(away) | 3-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Universitario de Vinto(home) | 5-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Bolívar(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Gualberto Villarroel SJ win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Oriente Petrolero win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Oriente Petrolero 2-1 Gualberto Villarroel SJ | Primera División |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Oriente Petrolero 0-2 Gualberto Villarroel SJ | Primera División |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ 6-0 Oriente Petrolero | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Oriente Petrolero 4-0 Gualberto Villarroel SJ | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Jul 6, 2025 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ 5-1 Oriente Petrolero | Primera División |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Oriente Petrolero 4-2 Gualberto Villarroel SJ | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Oriente Petrolero vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gualberto Villarroel SJ score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Oriente Petrolero score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gualberto Villarroel SJ | 1.0 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Oriente Petrolero | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gualberto Villarroel SJ sit 16th in Primera División (2 points from 6 matches) and Oriente Petrolero sit 9th (10 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Oriente Petrolero | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 29 | 20 | 26 |
| 9 | Oriente Petrolero | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 10 |
| 14 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 24 | 13 |
| 16 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Oriente Petrolero?
- The Footlab model makes Gualberto Villarroel SJ the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Oriente Petrolero.
- Where and when is Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Oriente Petrolero played?
- Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Oriente Petrolero is played on August 25, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC), in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.