Bolton vs West Brom: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 25, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Toughsheet Community Stadium, Bolton
The Footlab model makes Bolton the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for West Brom. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bolton vs West Brom?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Bolton (1,913) and West Brom (1,900).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bolton have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; West Brom have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | QPR(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Preston(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sheffield Wednesday(away) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | NAC Breda(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Burnley(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Norwich(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rotherham(away) | 4-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Peterborough(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Shrewsbury(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Bolton win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 West Brom win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 13, 2024 | West Brom 1-2 Bolton | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Bolton 4-3 West Brom | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 21, 2019 | Bolton 0-2 West Brom | Championship |
| Aug 4, 2018 | West Brom 1-2 Bolton | Championship |
| May 6, 2012 | Bolton 2-2 West Brom | Premier League |
| Nov 19, 2011 | West Brom 2-1 Bolton | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Bolton score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; West Brom score 2.1 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bolton | 1.7 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| West Brom | 2.1 | 0.6 | 8 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bolton sit 8th in Championship (4 points from 2 matches) and West Brom sit 2nd (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | West Brom | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | Bolton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bolton vs West Brom?
- The Footlab model makes Bolton the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for West Brom.
- Where and when is Bolton vs West Brom played?
- Bolton vs West Brom is played on November 25, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Toughsheet Community Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.