Bolton vs West Brom: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 25, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Toughsheet Community Stadium, Bolton
The Footlab AI model makes Bolton the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for West Brom. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bolton wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,475 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bolton vs West Brom?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Bolton (1,962) and West Brom (1,953).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bolton vs West Brom
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bolton
4-2-3-1- 10S. Dalby
- 8J. Sheehan
- 21E. Erhahon
- 11T. Gale
- 16S. Iling-Junior
- 20Ruben Rodrigues
- 22Gaizka Larrazabal
- 18E. Toal
- 25M. Conway
- 6B. Davies
- 31G. Bazunu
West Brom
4-4-2- 20R. Nzingoula
- 19A. Heggebø
- 21I. Price
- 15Tobias Christopher Collyer
- 8J. Molumby
- 29Harry Whitwell
- 4C. Styles
- 2C. Mepham
- 18B. Pereira
- 6G. Campbell
- 1M. O’Leary
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 12:51 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bolton have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; West Brom have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Wolves(away) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Stoke City(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Norwich(away) | 4-3 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cardiff(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 8, 2026 | West Ham(home) | 2-3 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Wrexham(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Birmingham(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Wolves(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | QPR(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Derby(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Bolton wins, 1 draw, 2 West Brom wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 13, 2024 | West Brom 1-2 Bolton | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Bolton 4-3 West Brom | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 21, 2019 | Bolton 0-2 West Brom | Championship |
| Aug 4, 2018 | West Brom 1-2 Bolton | Championship |
| May 6, 2012 | Bolton 2-2 West Brom | Premier League |
| Nov 19, 2011 | West Brom 2-1 Bolton | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Bolton score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; West Brom score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bolton | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| West Brom | 1.9 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bolton sit 14th in Championship (13 points from 10 matches) and West Brom sit 6th (17 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | West Brom | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 17 |
| 14 | Bolton | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 18 | 13 |
A question about Bolton vs West Brom?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bolton vs West Brom?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bolton the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for West Brom.
- Where and when is Bolton vs West Brom played?
- Bolton vs West Brom is played on November 25, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Toughsheet Community Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.