Stoke City vs West Brom: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 21Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)bet365 Stadium, Stoke-on-Trent, Staffordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Stoke City the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for West Brom. The most likely score is 1-1. If Stoke City wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,338 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stoke City vs West Brom?
A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Stoke City (1,835) and West Brom (1,889).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Stoke City vs West Brom
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Stoke City
3-4-3- 7J. McGlynn
- 9R. Boženík
- 13J. Devenny
- 2B. Johnson
- 27El Hadji Djibril Soumaré
- 8E. Galbraith
- 21L. Bombino
- 16B. Wilmot
- 5L. Graham
- 18B. Lawal
- 1V. Johansson
West Brom
4-4-2- 11J. Morgan
- 7F. Myhre
- 8J. Molumby
- 21I. Price
- 17O. Diakité
- 20R. Nzingoula
- 4C. Styles
- 2C. Mepham
- 18B. Pereira
- 6G. Campbell
- 1M. O’Leary
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 05:24 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stoke City have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; West Brom have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Portsmouth(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Blackburn(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Preston(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Bristol City(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Derby(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Millwall(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Southampton(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Oct 31, 2026 | West Ham(away) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Preston(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Blackburn(home) | 3-2 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Stoke City wins, 4 draws, 2 West Brom wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | West Brom 0-0 Stoke City | Championship |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Stoke City 0-1 West Brom | Championship |
| Jan 18, 2025 | West Brom 1-1 Stoke City | Championship |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Stoke City 1-2 West Brom | Championship |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Stoke City 2-2 West Brom | Championship |
| Dec 17, 2023 | West Brom 1-1 Stoke City | Championship |
Last archived meeting: West Brom vs Stoke City on Feb 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stoke City score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; West Brom score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| West Brom | 1.5 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stoke City sit 3rd in Championship (29 points from 15 matches) and West Brom sit 5th (28 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Stoke City | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 18 | 29 |
| 5 | West Brom | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 28 |
A question about Stoke City vs West Brom?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stoke City vs West Brom?
- The Footlab AI model makes Stoke City the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for West Brom.
- Where and when is Stoke City vs West Brom played?
- Stoke City vs West Brom is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at bet365 Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.