Boston United vs Hartlepool: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 42Kick-off on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Jakemans Community Stadium, Boston, Lincolnshire
The Footlab AI model makes Boston United the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Hartlepool. The most likely score is 1-1. If Boston United wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,849 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Boston United vs Hartlepool?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Boston United (1,752) and Hartlepool (1,721).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Boston United vs Hartlepool
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Boston United
4-3-3- 9Tom Cursons
- 10C. McBride
- 18L. Wheeldon
- 30N. Pozo
- 15Oliver Bostock
- 8G. Holohan
- 4C. Teale
- 16L. Sutton
- 28T. Agyemang
- 23J. Grimes
- 13Louis Chadwick
Hartlepool
4-3-3- 19C. Popov
- 10W. Harris
- 9J. Hugill
- 42Cole Deeming
- 4J. Hunter
- 14N. Sheron
- 6R. McNally
- 12Neo Eccleston
- 3C. John
- 2J. Benn
- 32N. Fisher
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 03:21 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Boston United have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Hartlepool have 3, 0 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Scunthorpe(home) | 1-3 | FA Cup |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Southampton U21(home) | 5-6 | National League Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Southend(home) | 1-2 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Yeovil Town(away) | 0-6 | National League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | FC Halifax Town(away) | 1-1 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Marine(home) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Newcastle United U21(home) | 1-2 | National League Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Forest Green(away) | 4-2 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Tamworth(home) | 0-1 | National League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Harrogate Town(home) | 0-1 | National League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Boston United win, 1 draw, 2 Hartlepool wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Boston United 3-1 Hartlepool | National League |
| Sep 3, 2025 | Hartlepool 1-1 Boston United | National League |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Hartlepool 4-1 Boston United | National League |
| Sep 10, 2024 | Boston United 1-2 Hartlepool | National League |
Last archived meeting: Boston United vs Hartlepool on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Boston United score 1.4 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hartlepool score 0.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston United | 1.4 | 2.3 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Hartlepool | 0.7 | 1.6 | 2 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Boston United sit 21st in National League (12 points from 13 matches) and Hartlepool sit 20th (12 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hartlepool | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 12 | 19 | 12 |
| 21 | Boston United | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 23 | 12 |
A question about Boston United vs Hartlepool?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Boston United vs Hartlepool?
- The Footlab AI model makes Boston United the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Hartlepool.
- Where and when is Boston United vs Hartlepool played?
- Boston United vs Hartlepool is played on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Jakemans Community Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.