Boston United vs Hartlepool: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 42Kick-off on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Jakemans Community Stadium, Boston, Lincolnshire
The Footlab model makes Boston United the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Hartlepool. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Boston United vs Hartlepool?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Boston United (1,789) and Hartlepool (1,763).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Boston United have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Hartlepool have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Altrincham(home) | 1-0 | National League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Birmingham City U21(home) | 2-3 | National League Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Solihull Moors(away) | 2-0 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Aldershot Town(home) | 0-1 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hednesford Town(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sutton Utd(away) | 1-2 | National League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Aldershot Town(away) | 1-0 | National League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Middlesbrough U21(home) | 0-10 | National League Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Barrow(home) | 2-0 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Boston United win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Hartlepool win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Boston United 3-1 Hartlepool | National League |
| Sep 3, 2025 | Hartlepool 1-1 Boston United | National League |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Hartlepool 4-1 Boston United | National League |
| Sep 10, 2024 | Boston United 1-2 Hartlepool | National League |
Last archived meeting: Boston United vs Hartlepool on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Boston United score 1.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Hartlepool score 1.4 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston United | 1.1 | 0.8 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Hartlepool | 1.4 | 2.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Boston United sit 6th in National League (6 points from 3 matches) and Hartlepool sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Hartlepool | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Boston United | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Boston United vs Hartlepool?
- The Footlab model makes Boston United the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Hartlepool.
- Where and when is Boston United vs Hartlepool played?
- Boston United vs Hartlepool is played on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Jakemans Community Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.