Botev Ihtiman vs Belasitsa: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 15Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Gradski stadion, Ihtiman
The Footlab model makes Botev Ihtiman the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Belasitsa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Botev Ihtiman vs Belasitsa?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Botev Ihtiman (1,469) and Belasitsa (1,483).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Botev Ihtiman have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Belasitsa have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Balkan Botevgrad(away) | 0-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kostinbrod(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Slivnishki geroy(away) | 3-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia II(home) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 30, 2026 | Vitosha Bistritsa(home) | 3-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia II(home) | 2-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FK Minyor Pernik(away) | 1-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Levski Sofia II(home) | 4-5 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pirin Razlog(away) | 3-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Belasica(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Botev Ihtiman win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Belasitsa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 4, 2022 | Belasitsa 4-0 Botev Ihtiman | Third League - Southwest |
| Nov 27, 2021 | Botev Ihtiman 0-2 Belasitsa | Third League - Southwest |
| Apr 7, 2021 | Botev Ihtiman 1-1 Belasitsa | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 26, 2020 | Belasitsa 2-0 Botev Ihtiman | Third League - Southwest |
| Nov 9, 2019 | Belasitsa 5-1 Botev Ihtiman | Third League - Southwest |
| May 23, 2019 | Belasitsa 4-0 Botev Ihtiman | Third League - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: Belasitsa vs Botev Ihtiman on Jun 4, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Botev Ihtiman score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Belasitsa score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botev Ihtiman | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Belasitsa | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Botev Ihtiman sit 9th in Third League - Southwest (6 points from 4 matches) and Belasitsa sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Belasitsa | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 7 |
| 9 | Botev Ihtiman | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Botev Ihtiman vs Belasitsa?
- The Footlab model makes Botev Ihtiman the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Belasitsa.
- Where and when is Botev Ihtiman vs Belasitsa played?
- Botev Ihtiman vs Belasitsa is played on October 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski stadion, in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026Balkan BotevgradvsFK Minyor Pernik
- Oct 31, 2026Chavdar EtropolevsNatsional Sofia
- Oct 31, 2026Slivnishki geroyvsOborishte
- Oct 31, 2026KostinbrodvsBansko
- Oct 31, 2026Septemvri Sofia IIvsStrumska Slava
- Oct 31, 2026Levski Sofia IIvsSeptemvri Simitli
- Oct 31, 2026Slavia Sofia IIvsKyustendil
- Oct 31, 2026CSKA Sofia IIIvsPirin Razlog