Botev Ihtiman vs Belasitsa: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 15Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Gradski stadion, Ihtiman
The Footlab AI model makes Botev Ihtiman the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Belasitsa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Botev Ihtiman wins, the most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Botev Ihtiman vs Belasitsa?
On Elo ratings, Botev Ihtiman has 1,429 points and Belasitsa 1,394.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Botev Ihtiman vs Belasitsa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Botev Ihtiman
4-3-3- AA. Kurdov
- VV. Kaptiev
- KK. Dimitrov
- VV. Baharov
- VV. Velev
- YY. Gavrilov
- BB. Angelov
- SS. Katrankov
- DD. Vezalov
- II. Velikov
- NN. Radev
Belasitsa
4-3-3- 17I. Filchev
- 9K. Krastev
- 99D. Ivanov
- 26K. Valkov
- 18G. Karakashev
- 14I. Marchev
- 4D. Yovchev
- 5D. Yaramov
- 19V. Ergin
- 15A. Karachorov
- 1V. Ivanov
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 07:27 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Botev Ihtiman have 7 wins, 1 draw and 7 defeats; Belasitsa have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | Bansko(away) | 0-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Spartak Plovdiv(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | FK Minyor Pernik(home) | 0-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Pirin Razlog(away) | 0-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Natsional Sofia(home) | 3-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Septemvri Simitli(away) | 1-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Balkan Botevgrad(home) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Dobrudzha(home) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Strumska Slava(away) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Kostinbrod(home) | 0-1 | Third League - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Botev Ihtiman wins, 1 draw, 5 Belasitsa wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 4, 2022 | Belasitsa 4-0 Botev Ihtiman | Third League - Southwest |
| Nov 27, 2021 | Botev Ihtiman 0-2 Belasitsa | Third League - Southwest |
| Apr 7, 2021 | Botev Ihtiman 1-1 Belasitsa | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 26, 2020 | Belasitsa 2-0 Botev Ihtiman | Third League - Southwest |
| Nov 9, 2019 | Belasitsa 5-1 Botev Ihtiman | Third League - Southwest |
| May 23, 2019 | Belasitsa 4-0 Botev Ihtiman | Third League - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: Belasitsa vs Botev Ihtiman on Jun 4, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Botev Ihtiman score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Belasitsa score 1.4 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botev Ihtiman | 1.5 | 1.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Belasitsa | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Botev Ihtiman sit 8th in Third League - Southwest (15 points from 10 matches) and Belasitsa sit 14th (11 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Botev Ihtiman | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 15 |
| 14 | Belasitsa | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 21 | 11 |
A question about Botev Ihtiman vs Belasitsa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Botev Ihtiman vs Belasitsa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Botev Ihtiman the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Belasitsa.
- Where and when is Botev Ihtiman vs Belasitsa played?
- Botev Ihtiman vs Belasitsa is played on October 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski stadion, in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026Balkan BotevgradvsFK Minyor Pernik
- Oct 31, 2026Chavdar EtropolevsNatsional Sofia
- Oct 31, 2026Slivnishki geroyvsOborishte
- Oct 31, 2026KostinbrodvsBansko
- Oct 31, 2026Septemvri Sofia IIvsStrumska Slava
- Oct 31, 2026Levski Sofia IIvsSeptemvri Simitli
- Oct 31, 2026Slavia Sofia IIvsKyustendil
- Oct 31, 2026CSKA Sofia IIIvsPirin Razlog