Levski Sofia II vs Septemvri Simitli: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 15Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Georgi Asparuhov pomoshtno igrishte, Sofia
The Footlab model makes Levski Sofia II the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Septemvri Simitli. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Levski Sofia II vs Septemvri Simitli?
A very open match: only 95 Elo points separate Levski Sofia II (1,394) and Septemvri Simitli (1,489).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Levski Sofia II have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Septemvri Simitli have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Slivnishki geroy(away) | 0-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia II(home) | 1-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Belasitsa(away) | 5-4 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Slavia Sofia II(away) | 0-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 29, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia II(home) | 0-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chavdar Etropole(away) | 2-4 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | CSKA Sofia III(home) | 0-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Balkan Botevgrad(away) | 2-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kostinbrod(home) | 2-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 29, 2026 | Kyustendil(home) | 2-0 | Third League - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Levski Sofia II win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Septemvri Simitli win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | Levski Sofia II 1-1 Septemvri Simitli | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Septemvri Simitli 0-0 Levski Sofia II | Third League - Southwest |
| May 6, 2025 | Septemvri Simitli 1-0 Levski Sofia II | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Levski Sofia II 1-0 Septemvri Simitli | Third League - Southwest |
| Jun 1, 2024 | Levski Sofia II 2-2 Septemvri Simitli | Third League - Southwest |
| Nov 18, 2023 | Septemvri Simitli 2-1 Levski Sofia II | Third League - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: Levski Sofia II vs Septemvri Simitli on Mar 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Levski Sofia II score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Septemvri Simitli score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levski Sofia II | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Septemvri Simitli | 1.4 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Levski Sofia II sit 13th in Third League - Southwest (4 points from 4 matches) and Septemvri Simitli sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Septemvri Simitli | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 13 | Levski Sofia II | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Levski Sofia II vs Septemvri Simitli?
- The Footlab model makes Levski Sofia II the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Septemvri Simitli.
- Where and when is Levski Sofia II vs Septemvri Simitli played?
- Levski Sofia II vs Septemvri Simitli is played on October 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Georgi Asparuhov pomoshtno igrishte, in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026Balkan BotevgradvsFK Minyor Pernik
- Oct 31, 2026Botev IhtimanvsBelasitsa
- Oct 31, 2026Chavdar EtropolevsNatsional Sofia
- Oct 31, 2026Slivnishki geroyvsOborishte
- Oct 31, 2026KostinbrodvsBansko
- Oct 31, 2026Septemvri Sofia IIvsStrumska Slava
- Oct 31, 2026Slavia Sofia IIvsKyustendil
- Oct 31, 2026CSKA Sofia IIIvsPirin Razlog