Kostinbrod vs Bansko: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 15Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Georgi Benkovski, Kostinbrod
The Footlab model makes Kostinbrod the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Bansko. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kostinbrod vs Bansko?
A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Kostinbrod (1,437) and Bansko (1,491).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kostinbrod have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Bansko have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Slavia Sofia II(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Botev Ihtiman(away) | 0-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kyustendil(home) | 3-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Septemvri Simitli(away) | 0-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 30, 2026 | CSKA Sofia III(away) | 0-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FK Minyor Pernik(away) | 2-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pirin Razlog(home) | 3-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Natsional Sofia(away) | 2-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chavdar Etropole(home) | 3-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 29, 2026 | Balkan Botevgrad(home) | 0-2 | Third League - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Kostinbrod win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Bansko win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | Kostinbrod 2-1 Bansko | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Bansko 2-1 Kostinbrod | Third League - Southwest |
| Jun 6, 2024 | Bansko 3-2 Kostinbrod | Third League - Southwest |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Kostinbrod 1-3 Bansko | Third League - Southwest |
| Apr 29, 2023 | Kostinbrod 0-2 Bansko | Third League - Southwest |
| Mar 18, 2023 | Bansko 1-0 Kostinbrod | Third League - Southwest |
How many goals should we expect?
Kostinbrod score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bansko score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kostinbrod | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Bansko | 1.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kostinbrod sit 10th in Third League - Southwest (6 points from 4 matches) and Bansko sit 1st (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bansko | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 10 |
| 10 | Kostinbrod | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kostinbrod vs Bansko?
- The Footlab model makes Kostinbrod the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Bansko.
- Where and when is Kostinbrod vs Bansko played?
- Kostinbrod vs Bansko is played on October 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Georgi Benkovski, in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026Balkan BotevgradvsFK Minyor Pernik
- Oct 31, 2026Botev IhtimanvsBelasitsa
- Oct 31, 2026Chavdar EtropolevsNatsional Sofia
- Oct 31, 2026Slivnishki geroyvsOborishte
- Oct 31, 2026Septemvri Sofia IIvsStrumska Slava
- Oct 31, 2026Levski Sofia IIvsSeptemvri Simitli
- Oct 31, 2026Slavia Sofia IIvsKyustendil
- Oct 31, 2026CSKA Sofia IIIvsPirin Razlog