Chavdar Etropole vs Natsional Sofia: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 15Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Chavdar, Etropole
The Footlab AI model makes Chavdar Etropole the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 32% for Natsional Sofia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chavdar Etropole wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chavdar Etropole vs Natsional Sofia?
A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Chavdar Etropole (1,493) and Natsional Sofia (1,410).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Chavdar Etropole vs Natsional Sofia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Chavdar Etropole
4-3-3- NN. Botev
- NN. Ivanov
- SS. Sotirov
- AA. Gushterov
- TT. Stoichkov
- SS. Alichkov
- MM. Vasilev
- HH. Kaymakanski
- EE. Trendafilov
- GG. Yurukov
- SS. Petrov
Natsional Sofia
Not enough data to predict the Natsional Sofia lineup.
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:36 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chavdar Etropole have 7 wins, 1 draw and 7 defeats; Natsional Sofia have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Slivnishki geroy(home) | 2-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia II(away) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Levski Sofia II(home) | 1-3 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Slavia Sofia II(away) | 0-4 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Botev Ihtiman(home) | 1-4 | Third League - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia II(home) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(home) | 1-3 | Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Levski Sofia II(away) | 0-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Slavia Sofia II(home) | 2-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Botev Ihtiman(away) | 2-3 | Third League - Southwest |
How many goals should we expect?
Chavdar Etropole score 2.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Natsional Sofia score 2.5 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chavdar Etropole | 2.1 | 1.8 | 4 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| Natsional Sofia | 2.5 | 2.0 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chavdar Etropole sit 15th in Third League - Southwest (10 points from 10 matches) and Natsional Sofia sit 17th (7 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Chavdar Etropole | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 23 | 10 |
| 17 | Natsional Sofia | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 7 |
A question about Chavdar Etropole vs Natsional Sofia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chavdar Etropole vs Natsional Sofia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chavdar Etropole the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 32% for Natsional Sofia.
- Where and when is Chavdar Etropole vs Natsional Sofia played?
- Chavdar Etropole vs Natsional Sofia is played on October 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Chavdar, in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026Balkan BotevgradvsFK Minyor Pernik
- Oct 31, 2026Botev IhtimanvsBelasitsa
- Oct 31, 2026Slivnishki geroyvsOborishte
- Oct 31, 2026KostinbrodvsBansko
- Oct 31, 2026Septemvri Sofia IIvsStrumska Slava
- Oct 31, 2026Levski Sofia IIvsSeptemvri Simitli
- Oct 31, 2026Slavia Sofia IIvsKyustendil
- Oct 31, 2026CSKA Sofia IIIvsPirin Razlog