Septemvri Sofia II vs Strumska Slava: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 15Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion German, German
The Footlab model makes Septemvri Sofia II the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Strumska Slava. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Septemvri Sofia II vs Strumska Slava?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Septemvri Sofia II (1,510) and Strumska Slava (1,563).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Septemvri Sofia II have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Strumska Slava have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Belasitsa(away) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Levski Sofia II(away) | 1-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Slavia Sofia II(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Botev Ihtiman(away) | 2-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 29, 2026 | Levski Sofia II(away) | 2-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Natsional Sofia(away) | 3-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chavdar Etropole(home) | 2-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | CSKA Sofia III(away) | 0-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Balkan Botevgrad(home) | 2-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 30, 2026 | Pirin Razlog(away) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Septemvri Sofia II win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Strumska Slava win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia II 2-2 Strumska Slava | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Strumska Slava 4-1 Septemvri Sofia II | Third League - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: Septemvri Sofia II vs Strumska Slava on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Septemvri Sofia II score 1.8 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Strumska Slava score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Septemvri Sofia II | 1.8 | 0.8 | 8 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Strumska Slava | 1.6 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Septemvri Sofia II sit 7th in Third League - Southwest (7 points from 4 matches) and Strumska Slava sit 2nd (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Strumska Slava | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
| 7 | Septemvri Sofia II | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Septemvri Sofia II vs Strumska Slava?
- The Footlab model makes Septemvri Sofia II the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Strumska Slava.
- Where and when is Septemvri Sofia II vs Strumska Slava played?
- Septemvri Sofia II vs Strumska Slava is played on October 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion German, in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026Balkan BotevgradvsFK Minyor Pernik
- Oct 31, 2026Botev IhtimanvsBelasitsa
- Oct 31, 2026Chavdar EtropolevsNatsional Sofia
- Oct 31, 2026Slivnishki geroyvsOborishte
- Oct 31, 2026KostinbrodvsBansko
- Oct 31, 2026Levski Sofia IIvsSeptemvri Simitli
- Oct 31, 2026Slavia Sofia IIvsKyustendil
- Oct 31, 2026CSKA Sofia IIIvsPirin Razlog