Match

Slivnishki geroy vs Oborishte: prediction and stats

Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 15Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Gradski stadion, Slivnitsa

Slivnishki geroyOborishte

The Footlab model makes Slivnishki geroy the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Oborishte. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Slivnishki geroy vs Oborishte?

Oborishte starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,530 vs 1,420).

Slivnishki geroy win41 %
Draw27 %
Oborishte win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Slivnishki geroy have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Oborishte have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Slivnishki geroy
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Levski Sofia II(home)1-0Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026Slavia Sofia II(away)2-1Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026Botev Ihtiman(home)2-3Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026Kyustendil(away)1-2Third League - Southwest
May 30, 2026Slavia Sofia II(home)0-3Third League - Southwest
Oborishte
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Pirin Razlog(away)4-2Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026Natsional Sofia(home)3-1Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026Chavdar Etropole(away)1-1Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026CSKA Sofia III(home)1-1Third League - Southwest
May 30, 2026Germaneya(home)5-1Third League - Southwest

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Slivnishki geroy win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Oborishte win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 22, 2025Oborishte 3-0 Slivnishki geroyThird League - Southwest
Aug 2, 2025Slivnishki geroy 3-2 OborishteThird League - Southwest
May 17, 2025Oborishte 4-1 Slivnishki geroyThird League - Southwest
Nov 6, 2024Slivnishki geroy 0-0 OborishteThird League - Southwest
Apr 13, 2024Oborishte 2-1 Slivnishki geroyThird League - Southwest
Sep 23, 2023Slivnishki geroy 1-0 OborishteThird League - Southwest

Last archived meeting: Oborishte vs Slivnishki geroy on Nov 22, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Slivnishki geroy score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Oborishte score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Slivnishki geroy1.51.258/1510/15
Oborishte1.61.139/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Slivnishki geroy sit 8th in Third League - Southwest (6 points from 4 matches) and Oborishte sit 3rd (8 points from 4 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Oborishte4220958
8Slivnishki geroy4202666

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Slivnishki geroy vs Oborishte?
The Footlab model makes Slivnishki geroy the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Oborishte.
Where and when is Slivnishki geroy vs Oborishte played?
Slivnishki geroy vs Oborishte is played on October 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski stadion, in the Third League - Southwest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Slivnishki geroy and Oborishte

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