Slivnishki geroy vs Oborishte: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 15Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Gradski stadion, Slivnitsa
The Footlab model makes Slivnishki geroy the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Oborishte. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Slivnishki geroy vs Oborishte?
Oborishte starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,530 vs 1,420).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Slivnishki geroy have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Oborishte have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Levski Sofia II(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Slavia Sofia II(away) | 2-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Botev Ihtiman(home) | 2-3 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kyustendil(away) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 30, 2026 | Slavia Sofia II(home) | 0-3 | Third League - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pirin Razlog(away) | 4-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Natsional Sofia(home) | 3-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chavdar Etropole(away) | 1-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | CSKA Sofia III(home) | 1-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 30, 2026 | Germaneya(home) | 5-1 | Third League - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Slivnishki geroy win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Oborishte win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | Oborishte 3-0 Slivnishki geroy | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Slivnishki geroy 3-2 Oborishte | Third League - Southwest |
| May 17, 2025 | Oborishte 4-1 Slivnishki geroy | Third League - Southwest |
| Nov 6, 2024 | Slivnishki geroy 0-0 Oborishte | Third League - Southwest |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Oborishte 2-1 Slivnishki geroy | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Slivnishki geroy 1-0 Oborishte | Third League - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: Oborishte vs Slivnishki geroy on Nov 22, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Slivnishki geroy score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Oborishte score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slivnishki geroy | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Oborishte | 1.6 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Slivnishki geroy sit 8th in Third League - Southwest (6 points from 4 matches) and Oborishte sit 3rd (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Oborishte | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 8 |
| 8 | Slivnishki geroy | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Slivnishki geroy vs Oborishte?
- The Footlab model makes Slivnishki geroy the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Oborishte.
- Where and when is Slivnishki geroy vs Oborishte played?
- Slivnishki geroy vs Oborishte is played on October 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski stadion, in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026Balkan BotevgradvsFK Minyor Pernik
- Oct 31, 2026Botev IhtimanvsBelasitsa
- Oct 31, 2026Chavdar EtropolevsNatsional Sofia
- Oct 31, 2026KostinbrodvsBansko
- Oct 31, 2026Septemvri Sofia IIvsStrumska Slava
- Oct 31, 2026Levski Sofia IIvsSeptemvri Simitli
- Oct 31, 2026Slavia Sofia IIvsKyustendil
- Oct 31, 2026CSKA Sofia IIIvsPirin Razlog