CSKA Sofia III vs Pirin Razlog: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 15Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes CSKA Sofia III the favourite at 70%, against 19% for a draw and 11% for Pirin Razlog. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CSKA Sofia III vs Pirin Razlog?
CSKA Sofia III starts as the favourite with a 124-point Elo edge (1,490 vs 1,366).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CSKA Sofia III have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Pirin Razlog have 6, 0 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kyustendil(home) | 1-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Septemvri Simitli(away) | 0-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Strumska Slava(home) | 0-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Oborishte(away) | 1-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 30, 2026 | Kostinbrod(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Oborishte(home) | 2-4 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bansko(away) | 1-3 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FK Minyor Pernik(home) | 0-3 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Belasitsa(home) | 1-3 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 30, 2026 | Strumska Slava(home) | 2-1 | Third League - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 CSKA Sofia III win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Pirin Razlog win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2026 | CSKA Sofia III 3-1 Pirin Razlog | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Pirin Razlog 0-2 CSKA Sofia III | Third League - Southwest |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Pirin Razlog 2-1 CSKA Sofia III | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 11, 2024 | CSKA Sofia III 2-1 Pirin Razlog | Third League - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: CSKA Sofia III vs Pirin Razlog on Apr 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
CSKA Sofia III score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Pirin Razlog score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSKA Sofia III | 1.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Pirin Razlog | 1.3 | 1.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CSKA Sofia III sit 12th in Third League - Southwest (4 points from 4 matches) and Pirin Razlog sit 18th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | CSKA Sofia III | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 18 | Pirin Razlog | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CSKA Sofia III vs Pirin Razlog?
- The Footlab model makes CSKA Sofia III the favourite at 70%, against 19% for a draw and 11% for Pirin Razlog.
- Where and when is CSKA Sofia III vs Pirin Razlog played?
- CSKA Sofia III vs Pirin Razlog is played on October 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC), in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026Balkan BotevgradvsFK Minyor Pernik
- Oct 31, 2026Botev IhtimanvsBelasitsa
- Oct 31, 2026Chavdar EtropolevsNatsional Sofia
- Oct 31, 2026Slivnishki geroyvsOborishte
- Oct 31, 2026KostinbrodvsBansko
- Oct 31, 2026Septemvri Sofia IIvsStrumska Slava
- Oct 31, 2026Levski Sofia IIvsSeptemvri Simitli
- Oct 31, 2026Slavia Sofia IIvsKyustendil