Botev Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Hristo Botev, Plovdiv
The Footlab AI model makes Botev Plovdiv the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Arda Kardzhali. The most likely score is 1-1. If Botev Plovdiv wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,528 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Botev Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Botev Plovdiv (1,840) and Arda Kardzhali (1,826).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Botev Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Botev Plovdiv
4-2-3-1- 90S. Kalu
- 10A. Chandarov
- 77Lucas Araújo
- 16V. Vidolov
- 7Alberto Salido
- 13S. Tsonov
- 4N. Soldo
- 87S. Petrov
- 27B. Hein
- 82V. Mendes
- 29D. Naumov
Arda Kardzhali
4-2-3-1- 91S. Ivanov
- 80L. Kotev
- 39A. Vutov
- 8D. Yankov
- 26B. Akandzha
- 10S. Kovachev
- 21V. Velev
- 6V. Popov
- 24M. Paskalev
- 35D. Velkovski
- 1A. Gospodinov
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 03:10 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Botev Plovdiv have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Arda Kardzhali have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Lokomotiv Sofia(away) | 5-2 | First League |
| Oct 23, 2026 | CSKA 1948(away) | 0-4 | First League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(away) | 4-0 | Cup |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Botev Vratsa(home) | 2-0 | Pro Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Slavia Sofia(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia(home) | 2-1 | First League |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Levski Sofia(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Spartak Plovdiv(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Ludogorets(away) | 0-5 | First League |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Botev Plovdiv wins, 1 draw, 2 Arda Kardzhali wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2026 | Arda Kardzhali 2-3 Botev Plovdiv | First League |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Botev Plovdiv 2-1 Arda Kardzhali | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 12, 2026 | Botev Plovdiv 1-2 Arda Kardzhali | First League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Arda Kardzhali 0-2 Botev Plovdiv | First League |
| Dec 2, 2025 | Arda Kardzhali 0-0 Botev Plovdiv | First League |
| Aug 4, 2025 | Botev Plovdiv 0-5 Arda Kardzhali | First League |
Last archived meeting: Arda Kardzhali vs Botev Plovdiv on Sep 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Botev Plovdiv score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Arda Kardzhali score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botev Plovdiv | 1.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Arda Kardzhali | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Botev Plovdiv sit 5th in First League (22 points from 13 matches) and Arda Kardzhali sit 6th (21 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Botev Plovdiv | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 20 | 22 |
| 6 | Arda Kardzhali | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 19 | 21 |
A question about Botev Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Botev Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali?
- The Footlab AI model makes Botev Plovdiv the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Arda Kardzhali.
- Where and when is Botev Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali played?
- Botev Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali is played on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Hristo Botev, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.