Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Sofia: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Huvepharma Arena, Razgrad
The Footlab AI model makes Ludogorets the favourite at 69%, against 20% for a draw and 11% for Lokomotiv Sofia. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,401 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
Ludogorets starts as the favourite with a 279-point Elo edge (1,968 vs 1,689).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Sofia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ludogorets
4-2-3-1- 12Rwan Cruz
- 23Deroy Duarte
- 14P. Stanić
- 6I. Zhelizko
- 18I. Chochev
- 17Son
- 42S. Shishkov
- 15E. Kurtulus
- 2J. Andersson
- 4Hossam Abdelmaguid
- 39H. Bonmann
Lokomotiv Sofia
4-2-3-1- 7S. Delev
- 31K. Stanoev
- 20D. Kostadinov
- 16M. Medfai
- 5E. Dost
- 44B. Katsarov
- 14A. Lyaskov
- 3K. Kostov
- 91R. Bidounga
- 6Eirô
- 99M. Velichkov
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 12:26 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ludogorets have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Lokomotiv Sofia have 2, 7 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Arda Kardzhali(home) | 5-0 | First League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(home) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 27, 2026 | CSM Ramnicu Valcea(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia(home) | 2-1 | First League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Lokomotiv Sofia(away) | 2-1 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Spartak Varna(away) | 1-0 | First League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(home) | 0-2 | First League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(away) | 2-2 | First League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Ludogorets(home) | 1-2 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Ludogorets wins, 1 draw, 0 Lokomotiv Sofia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Lokomotiv Sofia 1-2 Ludogorets | First League |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Lokomotiv Sofia 1-3 Ludogorets | First League |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Ludogorets 0-0 Lokomotiv Sofia | First League |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Lokomotiv Sofia 1-2 Ludogorets | First League |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Ludogorets 2-0 Lokomotiv Sofia | First League |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Ludogorets 6-0 Lokomotiv Sofia | First League |
Last archived meeting: Lokomotiv Sofia vs Ludogorets on Sep 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ludogorets score 2.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Lokomotiv Sofia score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ludogorets | 2.1 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Lokomotiv Sofia | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ludogorets sit 3rd in First League (26 points from 10 matches) and Lokomotiv Sofia sit 12th (8 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ludogorets | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 26 |
| 12 | Lokomotiv Sofia | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 8 |
A question about Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ludogorets the favourite at 69%, against 20% for a draw and 11% for Lokomotiv Sofia.
- Where and when is Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Sofia played?
- Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Sofia is played on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Huvepharma Arena, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.