Botev Vratsa vs Arda Kardzhali: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Hristo Botev, Vratsa
The Footlab AI model makes Arda Kardzhali the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Botev Vratsa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Arda Kardzhali wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,500 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Botev Vratsa vs Arda Kardzhali?
Arda Kardzhali starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,826 vs 1,718).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Botev Vratsa vs Arda Kardzhali
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Botev Vratsa
4-2-3-1- 4I. Goranov
- 12I. Yurukov
- 7R. Tsonev
- 10J. Gallegos
- 24M. Smolenski
- 8A. Stoyanov
- 36M. Stoev
- 3S. Sanyang
- 25A. Buchkov
- 21M. Dimitrov
- 94M. Orlinov
Arda Kardzhali
4-2-3-1- 91S. Ivanov
- 80L. Kotev
- 39A. Vutov
- 8D. Yankov
- 26B. Akandzha
- 10S. Kovachev
- 21V. Velev
- 6V. Popov
- 24M. Paskalev
- 35D. Velkovski
- 1A. Gospodinov
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 12:03 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Botev Vratsa have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Arda Kardzhali have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Lokomotiv Sofia(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Fratria(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Botev Plovdiv(away) | 0-2 | Pro Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Spartak Varna(home) | 0-1 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia(home) | 2-1 | First League |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Levski Sofia(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Spartak Plovdiv(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Ludogorets(away) | 0-5 | First League |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Botev Vratsa wins, 0 draws, 2 Arda Kardzhali wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2026 | Arda Kardzhali 2-0 Botev Vratsa | First League |
| Jul 10, 2026 | Botev Vratsa 1-0 Arda Kardzhali | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Botev Vratsa 1-0 Arda Kardzhali | First League |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Botev Vratsa 2-3 Arda Kardzhali | Cup |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Arda Kardzhali 0-2 Botev Vratsa | First League |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Botev Vratsa 3-1 Arda Kardzhali | First League |
Last archived meeting: Arda Kardzhali vs Botev Vratsa on Aug 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Botev Vratsa score 0.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Arda Kardzhali score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botev Vratsa | 0.8 | 1.7 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Arda Kardzhali | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Botev Vratsa sit 11th in First League (10 points from 13 matches) and Arda Kardzhali sit 6th (21 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Arda Kardzhali | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 19 | 21 |
| 11 | Botev Vratsa | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 10 |
A question about Botev Vratsa vs Arda Kardzhali?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Botev Vratsa vs Arda Kardzhali?
- The Footlab AI model makes Arda Kardzhali the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Botev Vratsa.
- Where and when is Botev Vratsa vs Arda Kardzhali played?
- Botev Vratsa vs Arda Kardzhali is played on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Hristo Botev, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.