Levski Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Georgi Asparuhov, Sofia
The Footlab AI model makes Levski Sofia the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Botev Plovdiv. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Levski Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv?
Levski Sofia starts as the favourite with a 196-point Elo edge (1,990 vs 1,793).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Levski Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Levski Sofia
4-3-3- 7Reinaldo
- 17Everton Bala
- 3Maicon
- 35Serginho
- 18G. Trdin
- 19E. El Moubarik
- 4C. Makoun
- 71O. Kamdem
- 20Álex Centelles
- 21Aldair
- 1O. Vladimirov
Botev Plovdiv
4-2-3-1- 90S. Kalu
- 10A. Chandarov
- 77Lucas Araújo
- 7Alberto Salido
- 16V. Vidolov
- 13S. Tsonov
- 87S. Petrov
- 27B. Hein
- 82V. Mendes
- 4N. Soldo
- 29D. Naumov
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 03:45 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Levski Sofia have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Botev Plovdiv have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(away) | 2-0 | First League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Red Bull Salzburg(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Botev Vratsa(away) | 0-0 | First League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(home) | 2-4 | Super Cup |
| Sep 5, 2026 | CSKA 1948(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Slavia Sofia(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia(away) | 3-0 | First League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv(home) | 2-0 | First League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Arda Kardzhali(away) | 3-2 | First League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Levski Sofia(home) | 1-3 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Levski Sofia wins, 2 draws, 1 Botev Plovdiv win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2026 | Botev Plovdiv 1-3 Levski Sofia | First League |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Levski Sofia 3-0 Botev Plovdiv | First League |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Botev Plovdiv 0-1 Levski Sofia | First League |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Levski Sofia 1-1 Botev Plovdiv | First League |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Botev Plovdiv 1-0 Levski Sofia | First League |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Levski Sofia 1-1 Botev Plovdiv | First League |
Last archived meeting: Botev Plovdiv vs Levski Sofia on Aug 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Levski Sofia score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Botev Plovdiv score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levski Sofia | 1.7 | 0.9 | 9 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Botev Plovdiv | 1.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Levski Sofia sit 1st in First League (28 points from 10 matches) and Botev Plovdiv sit 5th (19 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 4 | 28 |
| 5 | Botev Plovdiv | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 19 |
A question about Levski Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Levski Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv?
- The Footlab AI model makes Levski Sofia the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Botev Plovdiv.
- Where and when is Levski Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv played?
- Levski Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv is played on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Georgi Asparuhov, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.