Brentford vs Aston Villa: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 35Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Gtech Community Stadium, Brentford, Middlesex
The Footlab model makes Brentford the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Aston Villa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Brentford vs Aston Villa?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Brentford (2,186) and Aston Villa (2,206).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brentford have 5 wins, 8 draws and 2 defeats; Aston Villa have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Birmingham(away) | 6-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Tottenham(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt(home) | 7-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rennes(away) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | Liverpool(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Brighton(away) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Borussia Mönchengladbach(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Paris Saint Germain(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Super Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Bayern München(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 4, 2026 | BG Pathum United(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Brentford win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Aston Villa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | Aston Villa 0-1 Brentford | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2025 | Brentford 1-1 Aston Villa | League Cup |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Brentford 1-0 Aston Villa | Premier League |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Brentford 0-1 Aston Villa | Premier League |
| Dec 4, 2024 | Aston Villa 3-1 Brentford | Premier League |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Aston Villa 3-3 Brentford | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Aston Villa vs Brentford on Feb 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Brentford score 2.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Aston Villa score 2.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brentford | 2.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Aston Villa | 2.0 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Brentford sit 3rd in Premier League (3 points from 1 matches) and Aston Villa sit 20th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Brentford | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 20 | Aston Villa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Brentford vs Aston Villa?
- The Footlab model makes Brentford the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Aston Villa.
- Where and when is Brentford vs Aston Villa played?
- Brentford vs Aston Villa is played on May 8, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Gtech Community Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.