Brentford vs Aston Villa: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 35Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Gtech Community Stadium, Brentford, Middlesex
The Footlab AI model makes Brentford the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Aston Villa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Brentford wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,322 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Brentford vs Aston Villa?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Brentford (2,130) and Aston Villa (2,175).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Brentford vs Aston Villa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Brentford
4-2-3-1- 9Thiago
- 23K. Lewis-Potter
- 27V. Janelt
- 18M. Sangaré
- 11D. Ouattara
- 7K. Schade
- 33Michael Kayode
- 20K. Ajer
- 4S. van den Berg
- 2A. Hickey
- 1C. Kelleher
Aston Villa
4-2-3-1- 11N. Jackson
- 8B. Kamara
- 44J. Manzambi
- 7J. McGinn
- 47Alysson Edward
- 27L. Goretzka
- 3V. Lindelöf
- 22I. Maatsen
- 14Pau Torres
- 2M. Cash
- 1Z. Suzuki
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 01:22 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brentford have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Aston Villa have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Brighton(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Nottingham Forest(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Sunderland(away) | 2-3 | League Cup |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Hull City(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Liverpool(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Manchester United(away) | 4-4 | Premier League |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Barcelona(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Fulham(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Bournemouth(away) | 0-3 | League Cup |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Manchester City(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Brentford wins, 2 draws, 2 Aston Villa wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Aston Villa 2-2 Brentford | Premier League |
| Feb 1, 2026 | Aston Villa 0-1 Brentford | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2025 | Brentford 1-1 Aston Villa | League Cup |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Brentford 1-0 Aston Villa | Premier League |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Brentford 0-1 Aston Villa | Premier League |
| Dec 4, 2024 | Aston Villa 3-1 Brentford | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Aston Villa vs Brentford on Oct 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Brentford score 2.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Aston Villa score 2.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brentford | 2.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Aston Villa | 2.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Brentford sit 8th in Premier League (14 points from 10 matches) and Aston Villa sit 10th (13 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Brentford | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 14 |
| 10 | Aston Villa | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 17 | 13 |
A question about Brentford vs Aston Villa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Brentford vs Aston Villa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Brentford the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Aston Villa.
- Where and when is Brentford vs Aston Villa played?
- Brentford vs Aston Villa is played on May 8, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Gtech Community Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.