Tottenham vs Chelsea: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 35Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London
The Footlab AI model makes Chelsea the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Tottenham. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chelsea wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,422 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tottenham vs Chelsea?
Chelsea starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (2,221 vs 2,121).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tottenham vs Chelsea
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tottenham
4-2-3-1- 19D. Solanke
- 16S. Tonali
- 17Sávio
- 8C. Gallagher
- 15L. Bergvall
- 20M. Kudus
- 6J. van Hecke
- 14A. Gray
- 13D. Udogie
- 5M. Senesi
- 31A. Kinský
Chelsea
3-4-3- 17M. Rogers
- 10C. Palmer
- 9João Pedro
- 7Pedro Neto
- 29Pep Chavarría
- 14J. Henderson
- 25M. Caicedo
- 6L. Colwill
- 5M. Lacroix
- 34Joshua Kofi Acheampong
- 1E. Martínez
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 05:17 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tottenham have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Chelsea have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Manchester United(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Aston Villa(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Liverpool(away) | 1-3 | League Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Everton(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Nottingham Forest(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bournemouth(home) | 5-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Brentford(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Hull City(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Leeds(home) | 6-3 | League Cup |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Arsenal(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Tottenham win, 0 draws, 5 Chelsea wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chelsea 1-2 Tottenham | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 19, 2026 | Chelsea 2-1 Tottenham | Premier League |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Tottenham 0-1 Chelsea | Premier League |
| Apr 3, 2025 | Chelsea 1-0 Tottenham | Premier League |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Tottenham 3-4 Chelsea | Premier League |
| May 2, 2024 | Chelsea 2-0 Tottenham | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Tottenham score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Chelsea score 2.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Chelsea | 2.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tottenham sit 19th in Premier League (3 points from 6 matches) and Chelsea sit 6th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Chelsea | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 10 |
| 19 | Tottenham | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
A question about Tottenham vs Chelsea?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tottenham vs Chelsea?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chelsea the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Tottenham.
- Where and when is Tottenham vs Chelsea played?
- Tottenham vs Chelsea is played on May 8, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.