Brighton vs Sunderland: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 35Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The American Express Community Stadium, Falmer, East Sussex
The Footlab AI model makes Brighton the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Sunderland. The most likely score is 1-1. If Brighton wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,475 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Brighton vs Sunderland?
Brighton starts as the favourite with a 181-point Elo edge (2,316 vs 2,135).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Brighton vs Sunderland
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Brighton
4-2-3-1- 19C. Kostoulas
- 13P. Groß
- 25D. Gómez
- 29M. De Cuyper
- 26Y. Ayari
- 14José María Andrés Baixauli
- 21O. Boscagli
- 44L. Vušković
- 24F. Kadıoğlu
- 4P. Struijk
- 1B. Verbruggen
Sunderland
4-2-3-1- 18W. Isidor
- 27N. Sadiki
- 10N. Angulo
- 34G. Xhaka
- 28E. Le Fée
- 12T. Meunier
- 20N. Mukiele
- 4K. Danso
- 32T. Hume
- 17Reinildo
- 22R. Roefs
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 01:04 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brighton have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Sunderland have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris(home) | 4-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sunderland(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Arsenal(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Manchester United(away) | 3-2 | League Cup |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Coventry(away) | 5-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Torreense(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Brighton(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Manchester City(away) | 3-5 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Arsenal(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Brighton wins, 1 draw, 0 Sunderland wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sunderland 0-2 Brighton | Premier League |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Sunderland 0-1 Brighton | Premier League |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Brighton 0-0 Sunderland | Premier League |
| Aug 23, 2011 | Brighton 1-0 Sunderland | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Sunderland vs Brighton on Oct 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Brighton score 2.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sunderland score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton | 2.5 | 0.9 | 9 | 4/15 | 10/15 |
| Sunderland | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Brighton sit 3rd in Premier League (13 points from 6 matches) and Sunderland sit 17th (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Brighton | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 5 | 13 |
| 17 | Sunderland | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 4 |
A question about Brighton vs Sunderland?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Brighton vs Sunderland?
- The Footlab AI model makes Brighton the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Sunderland.
- Where and when is Brighton vs Sunderland played?
- Brighton vs Sunderland is played on May 8, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The American Express Community Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.