Brentford vs Leeds: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 32Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Gtech Community Stadium, Brentford, Middlesex
The Footlab AI model makes Brentford the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Leeds. The most likely score is 1-1. If Brentford wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,488 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Brentford vs Leeds?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Brentford (2,184) and Leeds (2,156).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Brentford vs Leeds
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Brentford
4-2-3-1- 9Thiago
- 27V. Janelt
- 18M. Sangaré
- 7K. Schade
- 11D. Ouattara
- 8M. Jensen
- 33M. Kayode
- 20K. Ajer
- 23K. Lewis-Potter
- 4S. van den Berg
- 1C. Kelleher
Leeds
3-4-2-1- 9D. Calvert-Lewin
- 4E. Ampadu
- 2J. Bogle
- 22A. Tanaka
- 3G. Gudmundsson
- 10H. Wilson
- 7D. James
- 24J. Justin
- 5T. Muharemović
- 30N. Elvedi
- 1J. Trafford
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 12:33 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brentford have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Leeds have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Nottingham Forest(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Sunderland(away) | 2-3 | League Cup |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Hull City(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Liverpool(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Aston Villa(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Bournemouth(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Sunderland(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Manchester United(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Arsenal(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Crystal Palace(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Brentford win, 4 draws, 1 Leeds win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2026 | Leeds 1-1 Brentford | Premier League |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Leeds 0-0 Brentford | Premier League |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Brentford 1-1 Leeds | Premier League |
| Jan 22, 2023 | Leeds 0-0 Brentford | Premier League |
| Sep 3, 2022 | Brentford 5-2 Leeds | Premier League |
| May 22, 2022 | Brentford 1-2 Leeds | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Brentford score 2.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Leeds score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brentford | 2.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Leeds | 1.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Brentford sit 6th in Premier League (14 points from 9 matches) and Leeds sit 12th (11 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Brentford | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 14 |
| 12 | Leeds | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 11 |
A question about Brentford vs Leeds?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Brentford vs Leeds?
- The Footlab AI model makes Brentford the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Leeds.
- Where and when is Brentford vs Leeds played?
- Brentford vs Leeds is played on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Gtech Community Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.