Hull City vs Coventry: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 32Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The MKM Stadium, Hull
The Footlab model makes Coventry the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Hull City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hull City vs Coventry?
A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Hull City (1,939) and Coventry (2,030).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hull City have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Coventry have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Manchester United(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Nice(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kasımpaşa(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Rizespor(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Arsenal(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Monaco(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Espanyol(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Northampton(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 2, 2026 | Watford(away) | 4-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Hull City win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Coventry win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026 | Hull City 0-0 Coventry | Championship |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Coventry 0-0 Hull City | Championship |
| Apr 14, 2025 | Hull City 1-1 Coventry | Championship |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Coventry 2-1 Hull City | Championship |
| Apr 24, 2024 | Coventry 2-3 Hull City | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2023 | Hull City 1-1 Coventry | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Hull City score 1.2 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Coventry score 2.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hull City | 1.2 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Coventry | 2.0 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hull City sit 5th in Premier League (3 points from 1 matches) and Coventry sit 19th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Hull City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 19 | Coventry | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hull City vs Coventry?
- The Footlab model makes Coventry the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Hull City.
- Where and when is Hull City vs Coventry played?
- Hull City vs Coventry is played on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The MKM Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.